Abstract:Written by world experts in the foundations of quantum mechanics and its applications to social science, this book shows how elementary quantum mechanical principles can be applied to decision-making paradoxes in psychology and used in modelling information in finance and economics. The book starts with a thorough overview of some of the salient differences between classical, statistical and quantum mechanics. It presents arguments on why quantum mechanics can be applied outside of physics and defines quantum … Show more
“…5) where , is the scalar product in H. As we have discussed in [4], these states are useful to project from quantum to classical dynamics and to fix the initial conditions of the considered system.…”
Section: Analysis Of the Results And Conclusionmentioning
This paper consider the possibility of using some quantum tools in decision making strategies. In particular, we consider here a dynamical open quantum system helping two players, G 1 and G 2 , to take their decisions in a specific context. We see that, within our approach, the final choices of the players do not depend in general on their initial mental states, but they are driven essentially by the environment which interacts with them. The model proposed here also considers interactions of different nature between the two players, and it is simple enough to allow for an analytical solution of the equations of motion.
“…5) where , is the scalar product in H. As we have discussed in [4], these states are useful to project from quantum to classical dynamics and to fix the initial conditions of the considered system.…”
Section: Analysis Of the Results And Conclusionmentioning
This paper consider the possibility of using some quantum tools in decision making strategies. In particular, we consider here a dynamical open quantum system helping two players, G 1 and G 2 , to take their decisions in a specific context. We see that, within our approach, the final choices of the players do not depend in general on their initial mental states, but they are driven essentially by the environment which interacts with them. The model proposed here also considers interactions of different nature between the two players, and it is simple enough to allow for an analytical solution of the equations of motion.
“…Those paradoxes lie at the base of many economics/finance models. We document those achievements in [16]. In essence, the use of quantum mechanical techniques into social science revolve really around formalizing information.…”
Section: Introduction and Motivationsmentioning
confidence: 97%
“…There are other interesting arguments, such as the way hidden variable theory can connect with the (non-observable) state prices, in again, the non-arbitrage theorem. See [16] Finally, we also want to mention that in the context of decision theory, notably in the resolving of some expected utility paradoxes, the use of quantum probability is very promising. Those paradoxes lie at the base of many economics/finance models.…”
In a very simple stock market, made by only two initially equivalent traders, we discuss how the information can affect the performance of the traders. More in detail, we first consider how the portfolios of the traders evolve in time when the market is closed. After that, we discuss two models in which an interaction with the outer world is allowed. We show that, in this case, the two traders behave differently, depending on i) the amount of information which they receive from outside; and ii) the quality of this information.
“…The quantum-like account of the conjunction fallacy is particularly promising as it belongs to a more general theoretical framework of quantum-like modeling in cognition and decision making, which has been applied to many fallacies or human behavior considered as irrational (for reviews, see Pothos and Busemeyer 2013;Ashtiani andAzgomi 2015, or Bruza et al 2015; textbooks include Busemeyer and Bruza 2012;Haven and Khrennikov 2013). For instance, quantum-like models of judgments have been proposed to account for order effect, i. e. when the answers given to two questions depend on the order of presentation of these questions (Atmanspacher and Römer 2012;Busemeyer and Bruza 2012;Wang and Busemeyer 2013;Wang et al 2014); for the violation of the sure thing principle, which states that if an agent prefers choosing action A-B under a specific state of the world and also prefers choosing A-B in the complementary state, then she should choose A over B regardless of the state of the world (Busemeyer et al 2006a, b;Busemeyer and Wang 2007;Khrennikov and Haven 2009; for Ellsberg's paradox (Ellsberg 1961) more specifically, cf.…”
Human agents happen to judge that a conjunction of two terms is more probable than one of the terms, in contradiction with the rules of classical probabilities-this is the conjunction fallacy. One of the most discussed accounts of this fallacy is currently the quantum-like explanation, which relies on models exploiting the mathematics of quantum mechanics. The aim of this paper is to investigate the empirical adequacy of major quantum-like models which represent beliefs with quantum states. We first argue that they can be tested in three different ways, in a question order effect configuration which is different from the traditional conjunction fallacy experiment. We then carry out our proposed experiment, with varied methodologies from experimental economics. The experimental results we get are at odds with the predictions of the quantum-like models. This strongly suggests that this quantum-like account of the conjunction fallacy fails. Future possible research paths are discussed.
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