Quantitative assessment of the level of biological risk for alimentary-related infections and invasions in the Ryazan region

Abstract

Relevance. The article deals with the relevance of a quantitative assessment of the level of biological risk for alimentary-caused factors according to the epidemiological indicators of infectious morbidity in the Ryazan region over a five-year period. Alimentarycaused biological risk factors are pathogens of infectious and parasitic diseases of various etiologies transmitted with food products, which can be the causative agents of especially dangerous infections, acute intestinal infections, food poisoning or be a source of food poisoning.Methods. In the course of the research, we used statistical methods for analyzing and assessing cyclical trends in morbidity, predicting the dynamics of morbidity, comparing the dynamics of morbidity with the dynamics of alimentary-related biological risk factors.Results. To quantify the level of biological risk for alimentary-related factors according to the epidemiological indicators of infectious morbidity in the Ryazan region, threestage epidemiological diagnostics was carried out, including the stage of collecting and analyzing statistical information, a descriptive and analytical stage. The results of our analysis over a five-year period showed that the greatest danger at present in terms of food safety is posed by risk factors of bacterial etiology: Staphylococcus aureus bacteria (УРэпид = 365,572), diarrheagenic serovariants of Escherichia and bacteria of the Escherichia coli group (УРэпид = 367,230), as well as various Salmonella serovariants (УРэпид = 371,161).