BACKGROUNDThe prognostic accuracy for distant recurrence‐free survival using a 21‐gene reverse‐transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT‐PCR) assay underwent validation in 668 lymph node‐negative, estrogen receptor‐positive women with early‐stage breast cancer receiving tamoxifen on National Surgical Adjuvant Breast Program (NSABP) B‐14. The predictive accuracy for treatment efficacy also underwent validation in 651 patients randomized on NSABP B‐20 and 645 patients on NSABP B‐14.METHODSPatients were classified as high (recurrence score [RS] ≥ 31), intermediate (RS 18–30), or low (RS < 18) risk for distant recurrence at 10 years. Cost‐effectiveness ratios were estimated for RS‐guided treatment compared with either tamoxifen alone or the combined chemotherapy and tamoxifen.RESULTSDistant recurrence was reported in RS low‐risk, intermediate‐risk, and high‐risk patients at 10 years in 3.7%, 17.8%, and 38.3% receiving tamoxifen alone and 5.0%, 10.1%, and 11.1% receiving the chemotherapy and tamoxifen. RS‐guided therapy is associated with a gain in individual life expectancy of 2.2 years compared with tamoxifen alone, whereas it is associated with similar life expectancy to that seen with the chemotherapy and tamoxifen strategy. RS‐guided therapy is estimated to provide a net cost savings of $2256 compared with chemotherapy and tamoxifen with an incremental cost‐effectiveness ratio of $1944 per life year saved compared with tamoxifen alone.CONCLUSIONSTreatment decisions based on RS‐guided therapy compared with tamoxifen alone are associated with greater efficacy with acceptable cost‐effectiveness ratios, and associated with similar efficacy and lower cost compared with chemotherapy and tamoxifen for patients with lymph node‐negative, estrogen receptor‐positive early‐stage breast cancer. Cancer 2007 © 2007 American Cancer Society.