2020
DOI: 10.48550/arxiv.2007.03412
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Quantifying the unfairness of the 2018 FIFA World Cup qualification

László Csató

Abstract: Aber so viel ist an sich klar, daß dieser, wie jeder Gegenstand, der unser Begreifungsvermögen nicht übersteigt, durch einen untersuchenden Geist aufgehellt und in seinem inneren Zusammenhang mehr oder weniger deutlich gemacht werden kann, und das allein reicht schon hin, den Begriff der Theorie zu verwirklichen. 1

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Cited by 3 publications
(4 citation statements)
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“…The set of matches played is recorded, too. As the CONCACAF representative in the inter-confederation play-offs for the 2022 FIFA World Cup should win a two-legged clash against a team from another continent (see Csató (2021a) for the details), that place is counted as half when the probability of qualification is computed. Consequently, 3.5 qualifying slots are allocated in every iteration.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…The set of matches played is recorded, too. As the CONCACAF representative in the inter-confederation play-offs for the 2022 FIFA World Cup should win a two-legged clash against a team from another continent (see Csató (2021a) for the details), that place is counted as half when the probability of qualification is computed. Consequently, 3.5 qualifying slots are allocated in every iteration.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Their proposal was unanimously approved by the participating nations and is currently being used. Csató (2021a) studies the fairness of the 2018 FIFA World Cup qualification process.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…(3) This model has recently been adopted to compute the probability of qualification for the 2018 FIFA World Cup (Csató, 2022b) and to quantify the incentive incompatibility of the European Qualifiers for the 2022 FIFA World Cup (Csató, 2022a).…”
Section: Simulating Match Outcomesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…with 𝑅 2 = 0.984, and the expected number of goals for the away team 𝑗 is given by (Csató, 2022b) and the unfairness of the 2018 FIFA World Cup qualification (Csató, 2022c).…”
Section: 𝑘! mentioning
confidence: 99%