Quality Risk Perception of Rectification and Reinforcement in a High-Rise Building under Uncertainty

Abstract

There are many complex and uncertain factors in the process of building rectification and reinforcement that can easily lead to construction quality failures. This study develops a novel hybrid risk analysis approach to perceive the construction quality risk under uncertainty by integrating the extension theory (ET), the cloud model (CM), the Dempster–Shafer (D-S) evidence theory and the dynamic Bayesian network (DBN). The extended cloud model (ECM) combining the ET and the CM is not only effective in avoiding information loss, but is also capable of dealing with the ambiguity and randomness in risk assessment. The ECM is employed to construct the basic probability assignments (BPA) of risk factors across different risk states. The improved D-S evidence theory considering the expert importance coefficient is used for the fusion of expert judgments. A DBN model integrating monitoring indicators is established to predict the dynamics of overall quality risk during rectification and reinforcement. Then, the measured data of settlement difference and settlement rate are fed back to the DBN model to update the risk assessment results in real time. Finally, a case study of the rectification and reinforcement in a high-rise building is taken to verify the feasibility and validity of the developed risk analysis approach. The risk assessment results better reflect the unexpected risk events in actual construction. The proposed approach provides a research paradigm for quality risk assessment of similar rectification and reinforcement projects.