Qualitative Discussion of Influences of some Factors on the Occurrence of Wind-Driven Coastal Upwelling Associated with “Aoshio” on the Northeast Shore of Tokyo Bay Using the Developed Analytical Model

Abstract

An analytical model based on some solutions in the context of a two-layered fluid was developed to estimate the occurrence of northeasterly wind-driven coastal upwelling associated with “Aoshio” on the northeast shore of Tokyo Bay, and its validity was verified by comparing with observation data [1]. In this study, influences of all of the factors incorporated into this analytical model (including densities and thicknesses of the upper and lower layers, the parameter expressing the influences of interfacial friction and bottom friction) on the model are analyzed. The analytical model is found to express the competition between the wind-shear effect and the stratification effect: when the former dominates over the latter, Aoshio will occur on the northeast shore of the bay. The parameter that can be used to characterize the stratification effect can be simply expressed in terms of the product of density contrast and the square of thickness of the upper layer. Using different values of this parameter corresponding to different months in the model can simply estimate in which months it is easy for Aoshio phenomenon to happen on the northeast shore of the bay, and the result is roughly consistent with an observation phenomenon that Aoshio was frequently observed on the northeast shore of the bay in September and May and relatively less observed in June and July during 1978-2010.