Qualitative Analysis of a Rumor Transmission Model with Incubation Mechanism

Al-Tuwairqi, Salma; Al-Sheikh, Sarah; Al-Amoudi, Reem

doi:10.4236/oalib.1102040

Cited by 9 publications

(11 citation statements)

References 27 publications

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“…The propagation of public opinion in OSN mainly depends on netizens' spreading behavior, which has essential randomness and uncertainty, and the state transition probability is a very important parameter reflecting this process. In most previous research (Al-Tuwairqi et al. , 2015; Liu et al.…”

Section: Construction Of Public Opinion Propagation Modelmentioning

confidence: 95%

“…The public opinion spreading model from macro perspective focuses on analyzing the quantitative changes of various groups from overall level, and then studies the propagation laws and characteristics of public opinion. The representative model is the warehouse model extended based on the infectious disease model: from the original classical spreading models (SI, SIR, SIS, DK) (Daley and Kendall, 1964; Zanette, 2002) to the improved spreading models (SIRS, SEIR) (Al-Tuwairqi et al. , 2015; Liu et al.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Research on the propagation and governance of public opinion information under the joint action of internal and external factors

Wang

Li²

2022

AJIM

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PurposeUnder the new media environment, while enjoying the convenience brought by the propagation of public opinion information (referred to as public opinion), learning the evolution process of public opinion and strengthening the governance of the spreading of public opinion are of great significance to promoting economic development and maintaining social stability as well as effectively resisting the negative impact of its propagation.Design/methodology/approachThinking about the results of empirical research and bibliometric analysis, this paper focused on introducing key factors such as information content, social strengthening effects, etc., from both internal and external levels, dynamically designed public opinion spreading rules and netizens' state transition probability. Subsequently, simulation experiments were conducted to discuss the spreading law of public opinion in two types of online social networks and to identify the key factors which influencing its evolution process. Based on the experimental results, the governance strategies for the propagation of negative public opinion were proposed finally.FindingsThe results show that compared with other factors, the propagation of public opinion depends more on the attributes of the information content itself. For the propagation of negative public opinion, on the one hand, the regulators should adopt flexible guidance strategy to establish a public opinion supervision mechanism and autonomous system with universal participation. On the other hand, they still need to adopt rigid governance strategy, focusing on the governance timing and netizens with higher network status to forestall the wide-diffusion of public opinion.Practical implicationsThe research conclusions put forward the enlightenment for the governance of public opinion in management practice, and also provided decision-making reference for the regulators to reasonably respond to the propagation of public opinion.Originality/valueOur research proposed a research framework for the discussion of public opinion propagation process and had important practical guiding significance for the governance of public opinion propagation.

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Section: Construction Of Public Opinion Propagation Modelmentioning

confidence: 95%

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Research on the propagation and governance of public opinion information under the joint action of internal and external factors

Wang

Li²

2022

AJIM

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“…Model penyebaran rumor mengalami perkembangan dengan panambahan beberapa kompartemen diantarnya kompartemen rentan teredukasi dan tidak teredukasi [6], kompartemen inkubasi [7], dan kompartemen pecandu media sosial [8]. Review terkait model-model penyebaran rumor dibahas dalam [9].…”

Section: Model Matematika Penyebaran Hoax Covid 19unclassified

Model Matematika Penyebaran Hoax COVID-19

Nur

Darmawati

2020

Jomta

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In this article, the problem of spreading hoaxes during the corona-19 outbreak is studied using a mathematical model. Currently, we often see a lot of hoaxes that are very unsettling, for example the news that eggs are a corona drug. In addition, there have been denials of funerals for Covid victims in various regions. In this article, the impact of government education and outreach, decisive action against hoax spreaders and ignorance of people who understand the problem of Covid-19 regarding the spread of hoaxes. The model built using 4 compartments, equilibrium point, free hoax spreader, basic reproduction number and sensitivity analysis are discussed in this article. Several numerical simulations are provided to test the theoretical study of the model

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“… [10] ), incubation mechanisms (Al-Tuwairqi et al. [11] ), hesitation mechanisms (Xia et al. [12] ), punishment and control by the government (Li and Ma [13] , Zhao and Wang [14] ), memory effects (Zhang and Xu [15] ), different probabilities for spreaders to become stiflers (Zhao et al.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The stochastic evolution of a rumor spreading model with two distinct spread inhibiting and attitude adjusting mechanisms in a homogeneous social network

Ming

Zhang

Georgescu³

et al. 2021

Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications

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In this paper, we propose and analyze from a stability viewpoint a deterministic, ODE-based class of rumor spreading models with two distinct inhibiting and adjusting mechanisms, together with its corresponding stochastic counterpart. For the deterministic model, a threshold parameter defined ad hoc , called the basic influence number, is used to ascertain whether the rumors are prevailing or not. If , the rumor-free equilibrium is found to be locally asymptotically stable, while if it is shown that there is at least one additional rumor-prevailing equilibrium, which is necessarily locally asymptotically stable. For the stochastic model, we first show that there exists a unique global solution. Subsequently, we investigate the asymptotic behavior of the stochastic system around the equilibria of the deterministic system by constructing suitable Lyapunov functionals. Furthermore, numerical simulations are given to illustrate, support and enhance our theoretical analysis.

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Qualitative Analysis of a Rumor Transmission Model with Incubation Mechanism

Cited by 9 publications

References 27 publications

Research on the propagation and governance of public opinion information under the joint action of internal and external factors

Research on the propagation and governance of public opinion information under the joint action of internal and external factors

Model Matematika Penyebaran Hoax COVID-19

The stochastic evolution of a rumor spreading model with two distinct spread inhibiting and attitude adjusting mechanisms in a homogeneous social network

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