In modern marketplaces, competitive products frequently face volatile demand. In particular, the majority of deteriorating items are frequently subject to dual uncertainty, simultaneously suffering from demand and deterioration. Accordingly, this study attempts to develop an economic ordering model for a newsboy-style deteriorating item with lognormal demand and Poisson-type deterioration. Finally, an effective and practical economic ordering model involving deteriorating inventory is developed for optimising the order quantity of a given deteriorating item during an upcoming selling period to maximise expected profits of retailers. Numerical examples demonstrate that, as expected, the proposed economic ordering model can obtain an optimal solution for the inventory problem involving deteriorating items under uncertain and random demand and deterioration.
IntroductionThis study considers the situation where a retailer places a single-period order contract to purchase a quantity matching expected demand for a given deteriorating item during an upcoming selling period. The supplier then delivers the required quantity in advance of the selling period. Notably, the retailer can incur a sizeable financial loss if the order quantity deviates significantly from actual demand. Owing to extensive demand uncertainty, an effective order model has to make a trade-off between the loss from excessive numbers of unsold units and lost potential sales and thus maximise profit. Moreover, making this trade off is especially important for deteriorating goods with uncertain demand because of the frequently minimal salvage value remaining on unsold units; additionally, besides potential profit, in an intensively competitive environment lost sales likely incur substantial intangible losses, including market share, goodwill, and customer loyalty, and others. Furthermore, demand for products with short shelf life is relatively difficult to accurately predict, particularly under volatile demand. Examples include most seasonal goods, deteriorating/perishable items, and other items characterised by periodic ordering and often with a finite selling horizon.Besides volatile demand, another relevant issue is that most deteriorating items considerably decay or deteriorate over time. Foods such as fruits, vegetables and foodstuffs suffer direct spoilage; volatile liquids such as gasoline and alcohol evaporate; and electronic goods, grains, etc. deteriorate through a gradual loss of potential utility or quality. Decay or deterioration of deteriorating items in stock is thus a very real phenomena and needs to be considered in modelling ordering decisions.Inventory problems involving deteriorating items are commonly modelled using a single-period ordering model. The single-period ordering model, also known as the newsboy problem model, is generally applied to optimise order quantity so as to maximise total profit or minimise total cost for a given time period. Numerous researchers have examined newsboy-type problems. The literature on this subject ...