2003
DOI: 10.1002/pam.10136
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Punctuations and agendas: A new look at local government budget expenditures

Abstract: Punctuated equilibrium theory (PET) is an agenda-based theory that offers a theoretical foundation for large budget shifts. PET emphasizes that the static, incremental nature of agendas is occasionally interrupted by punctuations. These punctuations indicate shifts in priority among the agenda items, and with those agenda shifts come trade-offs. This article expands the discussion of punctuated budgets to the level of local government by determining that local government expenditures have the characteristics e… Show more

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Cited by 112 publications
(122 citation statements)
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References 27 publications
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“…This evidence supports Jones, Larsen, and Sulkin' s contention that a reduction in institutional friction (here by the dispersal of power and the weakening of veto players) results in a policy process that is less consistent with punctuated equilibrium theory. These findings ϵ represent evidence that the fit of punctuated equilibrium theory to actual processes varies-as others have shown (Jones, Larsen, and Sulkin 2003;Jordan 2003;Robinson 2004). Here the variability of punctuated behavior is confirmed in the context of congressional reform.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 74%
“…This evidence supports Jones, Larsen, and Sulkin' s contention that a reduction in institutional friction (here by the dispersal of power and the weakening of veto players) results in a policy process that is less consistent with punctuated equilibrium theory. These findings ϵ represent evidence that the fit of punctuated equilibrium theory to actual processes varies-as others have shown (Jones, Larsen, and Sulkin 2003;Jordan 2003;Robinson 2004). Here the variability of punctuated behavior is confirmed in the context of congressional reform.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 74%
“…Likewise, non-allocational functions like energy, finance, transportation, and public lands are both above and below the kurtosis of the overall distribution. Thus, these findings do not clearly support either Jordan (2003) or Breunig and Koski (2012).…”
Section: Budget Changescontrasting
confidence: 60%
“…It cannot predict whether the effects of capital reductions are short-term or whether capital spending and infrastructure maintenance can quickly or adequately recover to prior levels after the recession is over. Based on the apparent change in priorities (Jordan, 2003), previous analysis (Berne & Stiefel, 1993), and evidence of an infrastructure crisis (American Society of Civil Engineers, 2011; Kile, 2011), capital budgets will likely not completely rebound, making it currently too difficult to measure the long-term effects of these choices. The academic community, in league with practitioners, should examine capital spending for many years post-recession to determine if these expenditures return to pre-recession levels and compensate for recession-era reductions.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 98%
“…receive more stable funding than nonallocational budgets (for public buildings, parks and recreation, highways, etc.) because there is a lower threat of driving away middle class taxpayers (Jordan, 2003). The fear of taxpayer exit results in nonallocational budgets experiencing "higher frequencies of shifts in priority" (Jordan, 2003, p. 357) and more frequent sharp decreases than their allocational counterparts.…”
Section: Cutback Managementmentioning
confidence: 98%