Pulse Wave Velocity and Blood Pressure Variability as Prognostic Indicators in Very Elderly Patients With Decompensated Chronic Conditions

Abstract

Objective: There is scarce evidence of the prognostic importance of hemodynamic measures, such as blood pressure (BP), BP variability and arterial stiffness in the very elderly population with advanced chronic conditions. We aimed to evaluate the prognostic importance of 24-hour BP, BP variability and arterial stiffness in a cohort of very elderly patients admitted to the hospital due to a decompensated chronic disease. Design and method: We studied 249 patients older than 80 (66% women), admitted due to a chronic disease decompensation (60% congestive heart failure). During admission, 24-hour brachial and central BP, BP and heart rate variabilities, aortic pulse wave velocity and BP variability ratio were determined through non-invasive 24-hour monitoring. The primary outcome was 1-year mortality. Secondary outcome was the composite of 1-year mortality or readmission. Results: Increased arterial stiffness (aortic pulse wave velocity and BP variability ratio) was associated with 1-year mortality. For each standard deviation (SD) increase in aortic pulse wave velocity and BP variability ratio, mortality increased 3.3 times and 31%, respectively, after adjustments for clinical confounders and BP. Increased BP variability (38% increase for each SD change) and reduced heart rate variability (32% increase for each SD change) also predicted 1-year mortality in fully adjusted models. No association was found between 24-hour BP (either brachial or aortic) and 1-year mortality. Conclusions: Increased aortic stiffness and BP and heart rate variabilities predict 1-year mortality in very elderly patients with decompensated chronic conditions. Measurements of such estimates could be useful in the prognostic evaluation of this specific population.