2018
DOI: 10.1556/032.2018.68.2.2
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Public debt and economic growth: Further evidence for the euro area

Abstract: This paper empirically investigates the short and the long run impact of public debt on economic growth. We use annual data from both the central and the peripheral countries of the euro area (EA) for the 1961–2013 period and estimate a production function augmented with a debt stock term by applying the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach. Our results suggest different patterns across the EA countries and tend to support the view that public debt always has a negative impact on the l… Show more

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Cited by 36 publications
(32 citation statements)
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References 61 publications
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“…Specifically they are in line with Afonso and Jalles (2013), Checherita-Westphal and Rother (2012), Drine and Nabi (2010), Ehigiamusoe and Lean (2019), Greiner (2012), Kumar and Woo (2010), Pattillo et al (2004), Reinhart et al (2012), Schclarek (2004) and Swamy (2019). Our findings are also in line with the studies of Misztal (2010), Gómez-Puig and Sosvilla-Rivero (2015, 2018) and Ferreira (2016), which have examined the case of EU or Eurozone countries and concluded that economic growth is negatively affected by public debt. Further, the other determinants such as investment, human capital and trade openness have a positive impact on economic growth.…”
Section: Econometric Analysissupporting
confidence: 92%
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“…Specifically they are in line with Afonso and Jalles (2013), Checherita-Westphal and Rother (2012), Drine and Nabi (2010), Ehigiamusoe and Lean (2019), Greiner (2012), Kumar and Woo (2010), Pattillo et al (2004), Reinhart et al (2012), Schclarek (2004) and Swamy (2019). Our findings are also in line with the studies of Misztal (2010), Gómez-Puig and Sosvilla-Rivero (2015, 2018) and Ferreira (2016), which have examined the case of EU or Eurozone countries and concluded that economic growth is negatively affected by public debt. Further, the other determinants such as investment, human capital and trade openness have a positive impact on economic growth.…”
Section: Econometric Analysissupporting
confidence: 92%
“…If we take a dummy variable into account, the results of the other variables remain the same for the coefficients and are more robust for the significance. The results of a positive contribution of investment, human capital and trade openness on economic growth and a negative contribution of public debt on economic growth are consistent with the studies mentioned in the literature review (Afonso and Jalles, 2013; Checherita-Westphal and Rother, 2012; Drine and Nabi, 2010; Ehigiamusoe and Lean, 2019; Gómez-Puig and Sosvilla-Rivero, 2018; Greiner, 2012; Kumar and Woo, 2010; Misztal, 2010; Pattillo et al, 2004; Schclarek, 2004; Swamy, 2019).…”
Section: Econometric Analysissupporting
confidence: 85%
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“…The authors defined such situations, when the rising fiscal spending multiplier allows to increase the effectiveness of discretionary measures (Baum & Koester, 2011). Teles and Mussolini (2014) focused attention on the fact that the fiscal policy's effect on economic growth has varied considerably (depending on the public debt-to-GDP ratio). The increase in the debt-to-GDP ratio reduced the positive effects of productive government expenditures on a longterm growth.…”
Section: Literature Reviewmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Based on performed modeling, it was concluded that (in certain situations) the increase in the public debt has been followed by the higher real GDP growth rates. In that case, government debt was purposeful (transformed into productive expenditures), and fiscal equilibrium, in general, was found (Teles & Mussolini, 2014). Idrisov and Sinelnikov-Muriliev (2013) showed that the possibilities for fiscal policy in the field of economic stimulation were limited.…”
Section: Literature Reviewmentioning
confidence: 99%