2020
DOI: 10.1109/access.2019.2963784
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PSO-ELM: A Hybrid Learning Model for Short-Term Traffic Flow Forecasting

Abstract: Accurate and reliable traffic flow forecasting is of importance for urban planning and mitigation of traffic congestion, and it is also the basis for the deployment of intelligent traffic management systems. However, constructing a reasonable and robust forecasting model is a challenging task due to the uncertainties and nonlinear characteristics of traffic flow. Aiming at the nonlinear relationship affecting traffic flow forecasting effect, a PSO-ELM model based on particle swarm optimization is proposed for … Show more

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Cited by 97 publications
(58 citation statements)
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“…Accurate recognition of the scenes is really relevant for applications with the purpose of context machine awareness, which is of critical importance for intelligent transportation or automatic pilot. The feature extraction method presented is general, and can be extend to other time series analysis tasks, such traffic flow forecasting [31]- [33], intelligent computing [34]- [36], or medical signal visualization [37], [38].…”
Section: E Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Accurate recognition of the scenes is really relevant for applications with the purpose of context machine awareness, which is of critical importance for intelligent transportation or automatic pilot. The feature extraction method presented is general, and can be extend to other time series analysis tasks, such traffic flow forecasting [31]- [33], intelligent computing [34]- [36], or medical signal visualization [37], [38].…”
Section: E Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In contrast to using original contexts, some researchers recommend choosing important contexts to improve model performance [26], whereas other researchers improve the accuracy by extracting hidden patterns from the original contexts [27]. In addition to those single models, ensemble learning [28]- [31] can be useful in CAR. For example, [29] employed gradient boosting techniques to organize and optimize rich attributes in a context-aware factorization framework.…”
Section: A New User Problemmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Improper network parameters setting will affect the prediction performance of the proposed method. The PSO algorithm, as one of the powerful tools of NN parameter optimization [41], is selected here to adjust DBN-ELM model structure parameters, due to its outstanding characteristics like fast convergence speed, simple structure, and good memory ability [23]. Conveniently, the PSO algorithm with time-varying weight proposed in [43] is employed, which has better search capabilities to handle the problem of premature convergence.…”
Section: Model Optimization Based On Pso Algorithmmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Furthermore, to further improve the prediction accuracy, the particle swarm optimization (P-SO) algorithm as the optimization tool is adopted into the design of the DBN-ELM model. The PSO algorithm with the advantages of fast search speed, simple structure, and good memory ability [23] is widely used to optimize the structure [38]- [40] and parameters [23], [41], [42] of neural networks (NN). Thus, this paper uses the PSO algorithm with timevarying inertia weight [43] to adjust the structural parameters of the DBN-ELM and improve prediction accuracy.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%