Prospects of Return: The Case of Syrian Refugees in Germany

Kaya, Serdar; Orchard, Phil

doi:10.1080/15562948.2019.1570579

Cited by 16 publications

(5 citation statements)

References 42 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…While these findings challenge the “push” and “pull” models that dominate discussions of return in policy contexts, we cannot evaluate the generality of our findings to contexts outside of a warring country's neighbors in the Global South. Results may differ in countries with robust social welfare systems or with clear pathways to citizenship (though, we note, a study on the drivers of return migration for Syrians in Germany did not find conditions in Germany to drive decisions [Kaya and Orchard 2020]). While this is an important scope condition for our findings, our results nonetheless speak to a significant proportion of the global refugee population.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 86%

The Dynamics of Refugee Return: Syrian Refugees and Their Migration Intentions

Alrababa’h

Masterson

Casalis

et al. 2023

Brit. J. Polit. Sci.

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

We study the drivers of refugees' decision making about returning home using observational and experimental data from a survey of 3,003 Syrian refugees in Lebanon. We find that the conditions in refugee-hosting countries play a minor role. In contrast, conditions in a refugee's home country are the main drivers of return intentions. Even in the face of hostility and poor living conditions in host countries, refugees are unlikely to return unless the situation at home improves significantly. These results challenge traditional models of decision making about migration, where refugees weigh living conditions in the host and home countries (“push” and “pull” factors). We offer an alternative theoretical framework: a model of threshold-based decision making whereby only once a basic threshold of safety at home is met do refugees compare other factors in the host and home country. We explore some empirical implications of this new perspective using qualitative interviews and quantitative survey data.

show abstract

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 86%

The Dynamics of Refugee Return: Syrian Refugees and Their Migration Intentions

Alrababa’h

Masterson

Casalis

et al. 2023

Brit. J. Polit. Sci.

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Studies on the impact of the inflow of refugees on social and economic life note that while the refugees gradually integrate into the labour market, negative public attitudes prevail (Deole & Huang, 2019). Existing research highlights that challenges for refugee integration and social inclusion continue by referring to evidence from the consequences of policies pursued and the refugee perspectives (Easton‐Calabria & Wood, 2020; Etzel, 2022; Funk, 2016; Gürer, 2019; Kaya & Orchard, 2019). All of these studies point out the limits to state capacity while addressing challenges induced by receiving mass migration and the need to understand the facilitators for increasing the efficiency of existing policies and enabling social cohesion further.…”

Section: Mass Migration Governance and State Responsesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Mass migration governance and openness toward refugees: Comparing Germany and Turkey

Erden,

Ozcurumez

2024

International Migration

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

This study seeks answers to the question: ‘Under what conditions do communities with migration experience in refugee‐receiving states become more open toward accepting more refugees and why?’. The research seeks answers to this question by examining the attitudes of individuals (N = 37) from Turkey who have been living in Germany for at least a year and who have sufficient familiarity with the characteristics of governance of mass migration in both countries. The findings suggest that the respondents are more pessimistic about the consequences of Turkey accepting more refugees in the future, while they are optimistic about the outcomes of the arrival of more refugees in Germany. This study posits that receiving communities' perceptions about the host state's regulatory and institutional capacity in managing mass migration and integration of refugees shape their attitudes toward the possibility of the influx of more refugees over time. The findings indicate that efficient mass migration governance in a receiving state is identified through four characteristics: (i) admission of educated refugees, (ii) proper refugee registration procedures, (iii) systematic integration processes, and (iv) effective monitoring and law enforcement mechanisms. The study concludes that local communities view public authorities as the key actors in managing the consequences of mass migration and establishing and sustaining good mass migration governance at the receiving state level is likely to facilitate positive attitudes towards accepting more refugees.

show abstract

“…In a recent study, Ghosn et al (2021) argue that the decision of refugees to return home can be affected by, among other things, the involvement and the policies of international organizations which are providing aid and relief. Although further research is still needed, at the moment the only clear factor related to returns seems to be the perception of increased security and stability (Kaya and Orchard, 2020).…”

Section: On Violence and Forced Displacementmentioning

confidence: 99%

Do UN peace operations help forcibly displaced people?

Costalli,

Di Salvatore,

Ruggeri

2023

Journal of Peace Research

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Do UN missions reduce forced displacement? Facing insecure environments, civilians are left with three choices: staying; moving to a safer community; or moving outside their country. Their aspiration and ability to move depend on individual characteristics and macro-level factors, such as the social, economic and political context in which these people live. Research shows that UN missions can impact and reset the macro-level context altered by war, especially in the security and economic domain. However, we lack empirical evidence on whether this impact helps UN peacekeeping tackle forced displacement and returns. This article offers the first global analysis of whether and how UN missions can shape aggregate population movements during civil wars. We combine data on outflows and returns of refugees and internally displaced people (IDPs) with data on distinct UN missions’ features that we expect to affect population movements, namely the size of their contingents and their mandated tasks. Using matched samples, we find that the unfolding of the outflows and inflows processes are affected by different features of UN missions. Sizeable deployments decrease IDPs flows and encourage their return; refugee outflows, on the other hand, may increase in presence of UN missions. Furthermore, missions with displacement-related mandates are associated with decreasing IDP flows overall, but only encourage refugees’ returns.

show abstract

Prospects of Return: The Case of Syrian Refugees in Germany

Cited by 16 publications

References 42 publications

The Dynamics of Refugee Return: Syrian Refugees and Their Migration Intentions

The Dynamics of Refugee Return: Syrian Refugees and Their Migration Intentions

Mass migration governance and openness toward refugees: Comparing Germany and Turkey

Do UN peace operations help forcibly displaced people?

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About