PROSPECTIVE DIRECTIONS AND FORECAST OF THE MAIN PARAMETERS OF THE GAS MARKET DEVELOPMENT

Abstract

Introduction. The problem of overcoming negative trends in natural gas trade in the domestic and foreign markets, which arose against the background of the spread of the COVID-19 coronavirus, is extremely important for the Russian economy. This article analyzes the key parameters of the gas market development, substantiates the forecast of indicators characterizing the demand in this market, and considers the possible directions of its development. Methods. In the process of researching trends and forecasting in the field of domestic consumption and export of natural gas, trend analysis was used in combination with the study of expert opinions. Results. The analysis of the development and existing difficulties in the gas industry in the world and the Russian Federation is presented. Based on the dynamics of the volumes of consumption of Russian domestic gas, exports of pipeline and liquefied gas, the equations for forecasting these processes are compiled. Conclusions. The positive development of the situation on the domestic market is associated with the implementation of projects in the field of gas processing and gas chemistry, the development of the gas transmission system and the consumption of gas engine fuel. In the field of export, it is necessary to revise the geography of trade and to advance the development of liquefied gas production.