Projections of long-term food security with R&amp;D driven technical change—A CGE analysis

Kristkova, Zuzana Smeets; Dijk, van Michiel; Meijl, van H.

doi:10.1016/j.njas.2016.03.001

Cited by 20 publications

(21 citation statements)

References 39 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Unclassified

Order By: Relevance

“…Knoop () and Yu, Fan, and Magalhães () showed that a reduction in the size of the government (reduction in government spending) would have an adverse impact on economic growth and welfare. However, Guseh (), Attari and Javed (), and Kristkova, Van Meijl, and Van Dijk () studies showed that the relationship between government spending and growth can vary significantly across time. Emerenini and Ihugba () studied government expenditure and economic growth in Nigeria, using the co‐integration and error correction methods and employing time‐series data (1980–2012), and found out that total capital expenditure, total recurrent expenditures, and government expenditure on education have negative effect on economic growth.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Earlier studies have shown sufficient evidence that agricultural revolution is an important precondition for economic growth, especially in developing countries (Kristkova, Van Meijl, & Van Dijk, ; Sanusi, ). Abu and Usman () disclosed that in the 1960s, agriculture in Nigeria contributed up to 64% to the total GDP, and owing to substantial investment from both public and private organizations to agricultural sector.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

Nexus of public spending and gross domestic products (GDP) growth in the agricultural sector: Evidence from Nigerian and Malaysian agricultural sector (1976–2016)

et al. 2018

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Nigeria and Malaysia are the same level in terms of economic growth in the 1960s; Malaysia has now progress in economic growth than Nigeria. The study examines public spending in Malaysia and Nigeria and specify lessons from Malaysian growth indices for Nigeria. Secondary data used was obtained from FAOSTAT and International data center from 1976 to 2016. Simple version of endogenous growth theory model was used. Random effects model results indicated that Nigeria public-expenditure (PUEXP) and intervention variables were significant but negative, whereas enterprise-development, drivers of development (DRIVERS), and Dummy for modest PUEXP access (D 1 t) were significant but positive. Similarly, three variables were significant and positive at difference rank of significance, also Dummies D 1 t and D 2 t (macroeconomic stability) were significant in Malaysia. PUEXP and gross domestic product growth has an inverse relationship in Nigeria and direct relationship in Malaysia. Malaysia over the four decades recorded modest PUEXP and witnessed macroeconomic stability among other growth indices; these are the growth indices Nigeria must learn from Malaysia.

show abstract

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Nexus of public spending and gross domestic products (GDP) growth in the agricultural sector: Evidence from Nigerian and Malaysian agricultural sector (1976–2016)

et al. 2018

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…At higher levels of aggregation, integrated assessment models can illuminate interactions between climate and socioeconomic global drivers. Models such as IMPACT [86,356], the International Agricultural Prospects Model [357], and MAGNET [358,359] have demonstrated their usefulness in exploring these interactions. Global economic models have been assessed within AgMIP [2,90,360,361] and this approach will soon be applied to micro-level models.…”

Section: Bio-economic Modellingmentioning

confidence: 99%

Role of Modelling in International Crop Research: Overview and Some Case Studies

et al. 2018

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Crop modelling has the potential to contribute to global food and nutrition security. This paper briefly examines the history of crop modelling by international crop research centres of the CGIAR (formerly Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research but now known simply as CGIAR), whose primary focus is on less developed countries. Basic principles of crop modelling building up to a Genotype × Environment × Management × Socioeconomic (G × E × M × S) paradigm, are explained. Modelling has contributed to better understanding of crop performance and yield gaps, better prediction of pest and insect outbreaks, and improving the efficiency of crop management including irrigation systems and optimization of planting dates. New developments include, for example, use of remote sensed data and mobile phone technology linked to crop management decision support models, data sharing in the new era of big data, and the use of genomic selection and crop simulation models linked to environmental data to help make crop breeding decisions. Socio-economic applications include foresight analysis of agricultural systems under global change scenarios, and the consequences of potential food system shocks are also described. These approaches are discussed in this paper which also calls for closer collaboration among disciplines in order to better serve the crop research and development communities by providing model based recommendations ranging from policy development at the level of governmental agencies to direct crop management support for resource poor farmers.

show abstract

“…Dimensi pemanfaatan dalam ketahanan pangan mengacu terutama pada kemampuan penduduk untuk mendapatkan asupan gizi yang cukup. Bagi penduduk yang tinggal di perdesaan dengan meningkatkan produksi pertanian akan mampu meningkatkan pendapatan petani yang dapat digunakan untuk mencukupi kebutuhan gizi rumah tangganya (Smeets Kristkova, Van Dijk, & Van Meijl, 2016).…”

unclassified

Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Kerawanan dan Ketahanan Pangan dan Implikasi Kebijakannya di Kabupaten Rembang

Hapsari¹,

Rudiarto

2017

JWL

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Food security issue remains a worldwide concern and discussed in the main point of Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) and Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) documents. Several problems threatening food security in addition to socioeconomic issue and the decline of agricultural land are the decrease of agricultural production caused by climate change. The Indonesian Government has proposed Food Security and Vulnerability Atlas (FSVA) to find out areas which require prioritized handling on food insecurity in order to determine appropriate policy strategy. Even though the result of FSVA 2015 concluded food security status in Rembang District, it does not guarantee similar condition in the villages. To complement the result of FSVA, this research attempts to identify food security and food insecurity at the village level by using spatial analysis and statistical analysis with factor analysis in order to examine the cause of food security and food insecurity. The result showed that most villages in Rembang fell into sufficient food security status (105 villages) and food security status (90 villages), but there remained 10 villages left into an extremely food insecurity status which required more attention. The result of factor analysis showed the main factor causing food security was food availability and the main factor of food insecurity was socioeconomic factors. Food security strategies and policies were determined by indicators which constructed factor grouping that affected food security and food insecurity. This strategy was not only to solve food insecurity problems but also to increase food security in Rembang.

show abstract

Projections of long-term food security with R&D driven technical change—A CGE analysis

Cited by 20 publications

References 39 publications

Nexus of public spending and gross domestic products (GDP) growth in the agricultural sector: Evidence from Nigerian and Malaysian agricultural sector (1976–2016)

Nexus of public spending and gross domestic products (GDP) growth in the agricultural sector: Evidence from Nigerian and Malaysian agricultural sector (1976–2016)

Role of Modelling in International Crop Research: Overview and Some Case Studies

Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Kerawanan dan Ketahanan Pangan dan Implikasi Kebijakannya di Kabupaten Rembang

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About