2023
DOI: 10.1016/j.pocean.2023.102973
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Projecting climate change impacts from physics to fisheries: A view from three California Current fisheries

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Cited by 10 publications
(13 citation statements)
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References 127 publications
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“…Climate change is expected to impact species distributions, altering the locations of profitable fishing grounds, fisheries impacts on protected species and ecosystem services (Grose et al., 2020; Pinsky et al., 2021). While some of these species' shifts are expected to trigger economic losses, others are likely to create new fishing opportunities for local communities (Kleisner et al., 2017; Smith et al., 2023). Both of these potential future scenarios may increase fishing conflicts via distribution of new quotas and allocation rights (Hazen et al., 2013; Karp et al., 2019).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…Climate change is expected to impact species distributions, altering the locations of profitable fishing grounds, fisheries impacts on protected species and ecosystem services (Grose et al., 2020; Pinsky et al., 2021). While some of these species' shifts are expected to trigger economic losses, others are likely to create new fishing opportunities for local communities (Kleisner et al., 2017; Smith et al., 2023). Both of these potential future scenarios may increase fishing conflicts via distribution of new quotas and allocation rights (Hazen et al., 2013; Karp et al., 2019).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Species distribution projections encompass uncertainty associated with the scenario or climate model used and the parameters and species distribution model integrated (Brodie et al., 2022; Morley et al., 2018). We used three downscaled ESMs (GFDL, HAD, IPSL) under one climate change scenario (RCP8.5) to encompass such uncertainty but there are potential areas for expansion to strengthen the analysis, such as including additional climate models, multiple scenarios and multiple species distribution models and other ecological models (Karp et al., 2019; Pecl et al., 2017; Smith et al., 2023). The future use of the CMIP6 model for modelling species distributions is also highly recommended.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…Consequently, characterizing and predicting variation in species distributions over time is often an important objective for scientists and managers (Currie et al, 2019;Karp et al, 2019;Smith et al, 2023). While distributional changes can be discerned from longterm fisheries-independent monitoring datasets, identifying coherent patterns and drivers behind such shifts can be difficult.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…As the oceans warm, many mobile marine taxa are shifting their distributions beyond their historical ranges (Nye et al, 2009; Perry et al, 2005; Pinsky et al, 2013), posing challenges to fisheries monitoring and management (Link et al, 2011; Pinsky et al, 2018). Consequently, characterizing and predicting variation in species distributions over time is often an important objective for scientists and managers (Currie et al, 2019; Karp et al, 2019; Smith et al, 2023). While distributional changes can be discerned from long‐term fisheries‐independent monitoring datasets, identifying coherent patterns and drivers behind such shifts can be difficult.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%