2015
DOI: 10.1007/s13280-015-0654-8
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Projected future climate change and Baltic Sea ecosystem management

Abstract: Climate change is likely to have large effects on the Baltic Sea ecosystem. Simulations indicate 2–4 °C warming and 50–80 % decrease in ice cover by 2100. Precipitation may increase ~30 % in the north, causing increased land runoff of allochthonous organic matter (AOM) and organic pollutants and decreased salinity. Coupled physical–biogeochemical models indicate that, in the south, bottom-water anoxia may spread, reducing cod recruitment and increasing sediment phosphorus release, thus promoting cyanobacterial… Show more

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Cited by 154 publications
(154 citation statements)
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“…The consequences of climate change are therefore expected to vary regionally (Rönnberg and Bonsdorff, 2004). The north receives large inputs of riverine DOM rich in humic substances (Andersson et al, 2015), while the south receives a comparatively nutrient rich riverine DOM inflow (Stepanauskas et al, 2002). The riverine loadings differ significantly in C:N:P stoichiometry depending on region and can potentially have very different effects on the recipient ecosystem.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The consequences of climate change are therefore expected to vary regionally (Rönnberg and Bonsdorff, 2004). The north receives large inputs of riverine DOM rich in humic substances (Andersson et al, 2015), while the south receives a comparatively nutrient rich riverine DOM inflow (Stepanauskas et al, 2002). The riverine loadings differ significantly in C:N:P stoichiometry depending on region and can potentially have very different effects on the recipient ecosystem.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Climate-related pressures include melting sea ice, decreased snow cover and permafrost thawing and increased discharges of organic matter, which may lead to altered trophic relationships (e.g. Andersson et al 2015). Even in a scenario wherere CO2 levels have been stabilised at 450 PPM, dramatic consequences can still be expected in the Nordic region (Fig.…”
Section: Box 9: Competition For Space In the Most Densely Populated Nmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Instead, freshening of the water has likely brought about an increase of its biomass in the Bothnian Sea and the Bothnian Bay since 1990 [16]. Projections for the future development of the Baltic Sea suggest a further decline of salinity [17,18], which may cause species that originate from a high-salinity environment to disappear and freshwater and glacial relict species, such as L. macrurus, to increase in numbers [18]. However, with consequent rising temperatures, the propagation of L. macrurus requires that the population is able to reproduce and grow in its distributional areas.…”
Section: Open Accessmentioning
confidence: 99%