Progress in integrated assessment and modelling1A Summary of a workshop on Integrated Assessment and Modelling, held at EcoSummit 2000: Integrating the Sciences, Halifax, June 18–22, 2000. See Costanza and Jorgensen (2001) for a further report on Ecosummit.1

Parker, Pamela; Letcher, Rebecca; Jakeman, Anthony J.; Beck, Marisa; Harris, Graham P.; Argent, Robert M.; Hare, M.; Pahl‐Wostl, Claudia; Voinov, Alexey; Janssen, Mathias; Sullivan, Patrick J.; Scoccimarro, M.; Friend, Anthony M.; Sonnenshein, M.; Barker, Diana Leonard; Matějı́ček, Luboš; Odulaja, D.; Deadman, Peter; Lim, Kyung-Rog; Larocque, Guy R.; Tarikhi, P.; Fletcher, Cameron S.; Put, A. Van; Maxwell, Thomas; Charles, Anthony; Breeze, Heather; Nakatani, Naoki; Mudgal, Shailendra; Naito, Wataru; Osidele, O.O.; Eriksson, I-M; Kautsky, Ulrik; Enfors, Elin; Naeslund, B.; Kumblad, Linda; Park, R; Maltagliati, S.; Girardin, Philippe; Rizzoli, Andrea Emilio; Mauriello, David A.; Hoch, Ralph; Pelletier, Dominique; Reilly, John M.; Ólafsdóttir, Rannveig; Bin, Sun

doi:10.1016/s1364-8152(01)00059-7

Cited by 190 publications

(18 citation statements)

References 11 publications

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“…Therefore, this 10-step-based institutional-social-environmental model suffices to be applied in a real-world POS planning and governance policy context, especially when it is believed it may bring high confidence to them in managing and facilitating their decision-making. However, for the interest of fulfilling the model's criteria and principles of being concise yet straightforward, a less complicated and all-inclusive model is necessary [36,37]. That is, the triangle model by Munasinghe [21]) is showcased below.…”

Section: Remain In This Institutional Behavioural Context In Pos;mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…These macro settings, which encapsulate the focal context of the triangle circles (interior elements) with the dashed line may determine the latter changes and vice versa. However, for the interest of fulfilling the model's criteria and principles of being concise yet straightforward, a less complicated and all-inclusive model is necessary [36,37]. That is, the triangle model by Munasinghe [21]) is showcased below.…”

Section: Remain In This Institutional Behavioural Context In Pos;mentioning

confidence: 99%

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Ten Steps Qualitative Modelling: Development and Validation of Conceptual Institutional-Social-Ecological Model of Public Open Space (POS) Governance and Quality

Ling

Leng

2018

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Compared to the literature on quantitative and statistical modelling, there is a lack of research on qualitative environmental-related modelling, which focuses on a conceptual-theory-based model. Therefore, this paper attempts to formulate a qualitative institutional-social-ecological model, by showcasing how the 10 steps modelling is relevant and is applied to the institutional-property-rights model of neighbourhood residential commons. Using an instance from one case study (i.e., Sabah, Malaysia), a conceptual problem-solution model describing local property-rights system tragedies of public open space (POS) governance and quality, and the emergence of self-governing collective action was demonstrated. Methodologically, the modelling procedures were specified as a 10-step process, starting with setting the objectives of the model and concluding with the validation of suitability and usefulness of the model. The validation was conducted using the experts' opinion, via the semi-structured interviews with five public officials. With slight necessary amendments, the model was proven practical, useful, flexible, reliable and valid in serving its purposes in understanding and predicting the effects of local property-rights system tragedies on POS commons dilemmas, and the subsequent emergence and necessity of a self-governing solution. This local model provides policy insights to the local public officials, which facilitate their institutional-social-ecological decision-making process that helps improve local POS governance and quality.Resources 2018, 7, 62 2 of 23 framework for qualitative environmental-related modelling has been less paid attention to. Against this background, this study focuses more on qualitative social-ecological system modelling. That is this local model nested few supplemental quantitative/statistical approaches within it; thus, as a whole, the model design is still called qualitative (see Forbus [4] on the qualitative mathematics, which is considered as qualitative modelling). This paper employs notable Jakeman's et al. [3] model development and validation steps. This is because Jakeman et al. [3] outlined clear ten steps modelling to explain and support resource management and use system, which is deemed relevant to this study's social-ecological governance dimension. More essentially, although this 10-step modelling is originally and primarily crafted for quantitative modelling, it can also be sufficiently generic and inclusive for qualitative modelling [5,6] and is applicable in environmental and economic related fields. See Jorgensen and Bendoricchio's [7] and Wainwright and Mulligan's [8] ecological and environmental modelling, and Grafton et al. [9] for economic-environmental systems. Based on our literature search, the application of the ten steps in qualitative-designed modelling is indeed very limited; therefore, such attempt is worth to be explored in this study so that it may methodologically value-add to the 10-step modelling framework, regarding its application validity and flexi...

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Section: Remain In This Institutional Behavioural Context In Pos;mentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Remain In This Institutional Behavioural Context In Pos;mentioning

confidence: 99%

Ten Steps Qualitative Modelling: Development and Validation of Conceptual Institutional-Social-Ecological Model of Public Open Space (POS) Governance and Quality

Ling

Leng

2018

Resources

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“…The complex and interrelated nature of realworld problems has led to a need for higher-order systems thinking and holistic solutions (EPA, 2008b;Jakeman and Letcher, 2003;MEA, 2005;Parker et al, 2002). IEM provides a sciencebased structure to develop and organize multidisciplinary knowledge.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Integrated environmental modeling: A vision and roadmap for the future

Laniak

Olchin

Goodall

et al. 2013

Environmental Modelling & Software

394

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Abstract:Integrated environmental modeling (IEM) is inspired by modern environmental problems, decisions, and policies and enabled by transdisciplinary science and computer capabilities that allow the environment to be considered in a holistic way. The problems are characterized by the extent of the environmental system involved, dynamic and interdependent nature of stressors and their impacts, diversity of stakeholders, and integration of social, economic, and environmental considerations. IEM provides a science-based structure to develop and organize relevant knowledge and information and apply it to explain, explore, and forecast the behavior of environmental systems in response to human and natural sources of stress. During the past several years a number of workshops were held that brought IEM practitioners together to share experiences and discuss future needs and directions. In this paper we organize and present the results of these discussions. IEM is presented as a landscape containing four interdependent elements: applications, science, technology, and community. The elements are described from the perspective of their role in the landscape, current practices, and challenges that must be addressed. Workshop participants envision a global scale IEM community that leverages modern technologies to streamline the movement of science-based knowledge from its sources in research, through its organization into databases and models, to its integration and application for problem solving purposes. Achieving this vision will require that the global community of IEM stakeholders transcend social, political, and organizational boundaries and pursue greater levels of collaboration. Among the highest priorities for community action are the development of standards for publishing IEM data and models in forms suitable for automated discovery, access, and integration; education of the next generation of environmental stakeholders, with a focus on transdisciplinary research, development, and decision making; and providing a web-based platform for community interactions (e.g., continuous virtual workshops).

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“…IAMs consist of very aggregated representations of real-world dynamics, it is therefore important to analyze the validity of their process representations and results (Parker et al, 2002;Schwanitz, 2013;Weyant, 2009). As IAMs produce scenarios about the future, it is difficult or even impossible to validate them against the real world (Craig et al, 2002;Parker et al, 2002).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…As IAMs produce scenarios about the future, it is difficult or even impossible to validate them against the real world (Craig et al, 2002;Parker et al, 2002). Concerning the topic of this paper, there are no large-area power systems in the world where wind and solar generate more than 50% of electricity, thus it is impossible to validate the modeling of integration challenges at high VRE shares against real-world data.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

System Integration of Wind and Solar Power in Integrated Assessment Models: A Cross-Model Evaluation of New Approaches

et al. 2017

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Mitigation-Process Integrated Assessment Models (MP-IAMs) are used to analyze long-term transformation pathways of the energy system required to achieve stringent climate change mitigation targets. Due to their substantial temporal and spatial aggregation, IAMs cannot explicitly represent all detailed challenges of integrating the variable renewable energies (VRE) wind and solar in power systems, but rather rely on parameterized modeling approaches. In the ADVANCE project, six international modeling teams have developed new approaches to improve the representation of power sector dynamics and VRE integration in IAMs. In this study, we qualitatively and quantitatively evaluate the last years' modeling progress and study the impact of VRE integration modeling on VRE deployment in IAM scenarios. For a comprehensive and transparent qualitative evaluation, we first develop a framework of 18 features of power sector dynamics and VRE integration. We then apply this framework to the newlydeveloped modeling approaches to derive a detailed map of strengths and limitations of the different approaches. For the quantitative evaluation, we compare the IAMs to the detailed hourlyresolution power sector model REMIX. We find that the new modeling approaches manage to represent a large number of features of the power sector, and the numerical results are in reasonable agreement with those derived from the detailed power sector model. Updating the power sector representation and the cost and resources of wind and solar substantially increased wind and solar shares across models: Under a carbon price of 30$/tCO2 in 2020 (increasing by 5% per year), the model-average cost-minimizing VRE share over the period 2050-2100 is 62% of electricity generation, 24%-points higher than with the old model version. Highlights: We develop a comprehensive framework to evaluate power sector modeling in IAMs  We evaluate 6 new modeling approaches to represent variability of wind and solar  Most IAMs now represent key power sector dynamics, as shown by hourly model REMIX  Previous integration modeling was in many of the analyzed IAMs too restrictive  IAMs with new approaches show on average 24%-points higher wind/solar shares than before Keywords:Integrated assessment models (IAM); variable renewable energy (VRE); wind and solar power; system integration; power sector model; flexibility options (storage, transmission grid, demand response); model evaluation; model validation.3

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Progress in integrated assessment and modelling1A Summary of a workshop on Integrated Assessment and Modelling, held at EcoSummit 2000: Integrating the Sciences, Halifax, June 18–22, 2000. See Costanza and Jorgensen (2001) for a further report on Ecosummit.1

Cited by 190 publications

References 11 publications

Ten Steps Qualitative Modelling: Development and Validation of Conceptual Institutional-Social-Ecological Model of Public Open Space (POS) Governance and Quality

Ten Steps Qualitative Modelling: Development and Validation of Conceptual Institutional-Social-Ecological Model of Public Open Space (POS) Governance and Quality

Integrated environmental modeling: A vision and roadmap for the future

System Integration of Wind and Solar Power in Integrated Assessment Models: A Cross-Model Evaluation of New Approaches

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