2021
DOI: 10.17531/ein.2021.1.16
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Prognostics uncertainty reduction by right-time prediction of remaining useful life based on hidden Markov model and proportional hazard model

Abstract: Uncertainty is a key problem in remaining useful life (RUL) prediction, and measures to reduce uncertainty are necessary to make RUL prediction truly practical. In this paper, a right-time prediction method is proposed to reduce the prognostics uncertainty of mechanical systems under unobservable degradation. Correspondingly, the whole RUL prediction process is divided into three parts, including offline modelling, online state estimating and online life predicting. In the offline modelling part, hidden Markov… Show more

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Cited by 17 publications
(7 citation statements)
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References 42 publications
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“…Once the fnal degradation state is reached, they extract the degradation features and obtain the survival function through the ftted PHM. Te proposed methods present higher accuracy than traditional methods [23]. Te studies confrm the role of HMM in the feld of fault detection and prediction.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 88%
“…Once the fnal degradation state is reached, they extract the degradation features and obtain the survival function through the ftted PHM. Te proposed methods present higher accuracy than traditional methods [23]. Te studies confrm the role of HMM in the feld of fault detection and prediction.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 88%
“…Regression models [14][15][16] Markov models [17,18] Proportional hazard models [19,20] Stochastic process-based prediction methods Wiener process [21,22] Gamma process [23,24] Machine learning-based prediction methods…”
Section: Statistical Model-based Prediction Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Each node represents a feature in a classification category, and each subset specifies a value the node may accept. Decision trees have several implementation domains due to their easy analysis and accuracy in various data formats [21][22][23].…”
Section: Decision Treementioning
confidence: 99%