Background
Soluble suppression of tumorigenesis 2 (sST2) is a strong prognostic biomarker of cardiovascular (CV) disease. End-stage kidney disease patients are at high risk of CV events and infections. We here investigated the utility of sST2 to predict all-cause and cause-specific mortality in hemodialysis patients with diabetes mellitus.
Methods
sST2 concentrations were measured in plasma samples of 1196 participants of the German Diabetes and Dialysis (4D) study who had type 2 diabetes mellitus and received maintenance hemodialysis for end stage kidney disease. Hazard ratios (HR) for pre-specified, adjudicated endpoints were determined according to sST2 levels at baseline by multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis.
Results
Participants (mean age: 66 years, 54% male) had a median sST2 concentration of 25 ng/ml and were followed-up for 4 years. After adjustment for possible confounders, participants with sST2 concentrations in the highest (>32.6 ng/ml) compared to the lowest (<20.1 ng/ml) quartile exhibited a two-fold higher all-cause mortality risk (HR, 2.06; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.61-2.61; p<0.001). High sST concentrations (4th vs 1st quartile) were strongly associated with the risk of cardiac death (HR, 2.29; 95% CI, 1.55-3.39; p<0.001). Analysis of individual components of cardiac causes of death showed an increased risk of sudden death (HR, 2.24; 95% CI, 1.33-3.77; p<0.001), death due to myocardial infarction (HR, 2.12; 95% CI, 0.9-5.0; p = 0.087) and heart failure (HR, 3.34; 95% CI, 1.15-9.75; p = 0.027) in participants with sST2 levels in the highest compared to the lowest quartile. Likewise, participants with highest sST2 levels had an increased risk of fatal stroke (HR, 1.92; 95% CI, 1.17-3.14; p = 0.009) and fatal infections (HR, 2.01; 95% CI, 1.2-3.37; p = 0.008). In contrast to fatal CV events, sST2 was not associated with the risk of non-fatal myocardial infarction (HR, 0.68; 95% CI,0.41-1.12; p = 0.132) or non-fatal stroke (HR, 1.28; 95% CI, 0.64-2.53; p = 0.485).
Conclusions
In hemodialysis patients with diabetes mellitus, high concentrations of sST2 were strongly and independently associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality, CV mortality, and death due to infection but not non-fatal CV events.