Prognostic Factors in Conventional Chondrosarcoma Patients: a SEER Database Analysis

Abstract

Background: Conventional chondrosarcoma, a rare type of bone tumor, was resistant to chemotherapy and radiation therapy, so more characteristics were needed. In clinic, the use of small series and single-institution studies have limited the investigation of chondrosarcoma. The Surveillance, Epidemiologic, and End Results is the most complete and comprehensive database worldwide. Based on this database, the study aimed to collect clinicopathological features and detect the prognosis of patients with conventional chondrosarcoma. Methods: Clinicopathologic and survival data of 782 patients from 2010 to 2016 and 353 patients from 2007 to 2009 were downloaded and analyzed. Overall survival was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method and verified by univariable Cox regression, and independent prognostic factors were assessed using the multi-variable Cox regression hazards model. Then, nomogram was established and the one-, three-, and five-year survival rates could be calculated with the nomogram. Competitive risk models were conducted to identify prognostic risk factors related to competitive endpoint events in patients with conventional chondrosarcoma. Results: In total, 361 extremities, 360 axial bones, and 61 cranial samples were collected from the 2010 to 2016 cohort. The median survival time of patients with conventional chondrosarcoma was 35 months, and the independent prognostic factors were sex, grade, surgery, AJCC_M age, and tumor size. Thereafter, a nomogram was established based on those independent prognostic factors. The competitive risk model revealed no competitive risk for the cancer specific endpoint event. Those data from 2007 to 2009 were used to validate the results from 2010 to 2016 with general consistency. This retrospective study determined the prognostic factors in patients with conventional chondrosarcoma using the Cox regression hazards model. A nomogram was established to help oncologists assess this rare malignant tumor with low heterogeneity.Conclusions: In the study, independent prognostic risk factors for conventional chondrosarcoma were identified, and a nomogram predicting three- and five- year overall survival rates were established, which may help physicians to predict the prognosis of patients with chondrosarcoma.