2016
DOI: 10.1111/1467-9655.12391
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Prognosis: visions of environmental futures

Abstract: While prognoses about the future are as old as human society, this special issue argues that the proliferation of new ways of modelling, planning, and interpolating the future of resources and environments is an increasing feature of contemporary environmental politics. In our introduction, we draw out two dimensions to this prognostic politics: first, the processes of making predictions about the future; and second, the movement of these predictions through the unstable and messy institutions that act upon th… Show more

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Cited by 62 publications
(35 citation statements)
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“…Based on speculation about such factors as the environment, health, and capital, anticipation is intricately associated with a logic of disaster management and attempts to prepare for a future defined by risk. Anthropologists have shown that administrators and planners increasingly respond to this futurity and its dimension of risk through ‘prognosis’ (Mathews and Barnes, 2016), regimes of preparedness (Samimian‐Darash, 2009), and manipulations of time (Guyer, 2007). When they conflate disaster with national security, regimes of anticipation increase government control over spaces, populations, and bodies (Lakoff and Collier, 2008; Collier and Lakoff, 2015).…”
Section: The Emotional Lives Of Disastersmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Based on speculation about such factors as the environment, health, and capital, anticipation is intricately associated with a logic of disaster management and attempts to prepare for a future defined by risk. Anthropologists have shown that administrators and planners increasingly respond to this futurity and its dimension of risk through ‘prognosis’ (Mathews and Barnes, 2016), regimes of preparedness (Samimian‐Darash, 2009), and manipulations of time (Guyer, 2007). When they conflate disaster with national security, regimes of anticipation increase government control over spaces, populations, and bodies (Lakoff and Collier, 2008; Collier and Lakoff, 2015).…”
Section: The Emotional Lives Of Disastersmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…At a basic level the physical strata of the underground are active, as was made all too clear in the September 2017 earthquake in Mexico, and organic materials come into contact and interact with each other. The biophysical characteristics of underground substances, like other resource materialities, provide affordances that shape but do not determine how they are engaged by people and industries (Barnes and Alatout 2012;Li 2015;Mathews and Barnes 2016;Richardson and Weszkalnys 2014). The stored energy of coal invites its burning for heat and energy, while the characteristics of water make it an "uncooperative commodity" that was difficult to privatize in England and Wales (Bakker 2004).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Mathews and Barnes 2016). The natural sciences draw on paleoclimatic data and draft scenarios strongly focused on these parameters, whilst the development of scenarios that explore in greater depths the social dimensions of future climate change fall under the purview of those producing literary fiction (Johns-Putra 2016; Nikoleris et al 2017).…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%