We examine the e¤ects of dividend policies on 469 British …rms between 1895 and 1905. These …rms operated in an environment of very low taxation and an absence of institutional constraints. We …nd strong support for asymmetric information/signaling theories of dividend policy, and little support for agency models. Our results suggest that dividends can signal information from managers to shareholders, even if dividend payments incur only very low taxes. However, taxes appear to be necessary to allow dividend policies to resolve agency problems between managers and investors.Keywords: Dividend Policy, London Stock Exchange JEL Classi…cation Code: N23, G14, G35The authors would like to thank Franklin Allen, Federico Barbiellini, Glenn Boyle, Elena Carletti, Toby Daglish, Frank de Jong, Marc Deloof, Sonia Falconieri, Vasso Ioannidou, Julij Jegorov, Eric Kemmeren, Ralph Koijen, Martin Lally, Steven Ongena, Graham Partington, Tony van Zijl, Bas Werker, and seminar participants at Auckland University of Technology, Center for Financial Studies -University of Frankfurt, European Central Bank, Massey University, University of Auckland, University of Canterbury, University of New South Wales, University of Sydney, Tilburg University, the First Workshop in Financial History (Utrecht), Fifth Corporate Finance Day (University of Louvain), and the workshop "Financial Markets, Institutions, and Asset Prices during the First Era of Globalization" at Oxford University for comments and suggestions. Moore acknowledges support from a Victoria University of Wellington University Research Fund in the writing of this paper. Beryl Bao, Sebastiaan Dekker, Charlotte Greneche, Mark van der Biezen, and Jeremy Williams provided excellent research assistance.y Moore is from Université de Montréal, Braggion is from CentER and Tilburg University.E-mail: lyndon.moore@umontreal.ca (Moore), f.braggion@uvt.nl (Braggion).
1The theorem of Miller and Modigliani (1961) states that, if capital markets are perfect, a …rm's decision of if, when, and how much of its cash should be disbursed to shareholders is irrelevant for the …rm's value. In practice, the assumption of perfect capital markets does not hold and a …rm's dividend policy is important.Taxes are one of the main factors leading to the failure of the theorem. Taxes, for instance, increase the cost of dividend payments in many jurisdictions (including the U.S.), which tends to reduce …rms'total payouts and induces managers to retain earnings and to use share repurchases (see Allen and Michaely (2002) and Chetty and Saez (2005)). Taxes also in ‡uence the importance of two competing (although not mutually exclusive) rationales for dividend payments, asymmetric information and agency issues. Signaling (asymmetric information) theories state that dividends are a costly signal available to managers to convey information about a …rm's future prospects. By making dividends more expensive, taxes also make dividend payments more informative.Agency theories suggest that managers could allocate ...