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2018
DOI: 10.1111/iere.12354
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Productivity or Unexpected Demand Shocks: What Determines Firms' Investment and Exit Decisions?

Abstract: We investigate the roles played by unexpected demand shocks, besides productivity, on firms' capital investment and exit decisions. We propose a practical approach to recover unexpected firm-level demand shocks using inventory data. The recognition of demand shocks and inventory also improves the productivity estimation. The empirical results indicate that although productivity and demand shocks are both significant factors determining firm behavior, the former is more dominant for investment decision and the … Show more

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Cited by 14 publications
(9 citation statements)
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References 41 publications
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“…Regional Science and Urban Economics 1 ics such as Schumpeterian/evolutionary (Lööf & Heshmati, 2002;Luo, 2009), neoclassical (e.g., Golombek & Raknerud, 2018), labor market (e.g., Bhaskar & To, 1999) and industrial organization perspectives (e.g., Kumar & Zhang, 2019). Other recurrent perspectives were the resource-based view and dynamic capabilities (e.g., Bruyaka & Durand, 2012), resource dependence theory (e.g., Gras & Mendoza-Abarca, 2014), and internationalization theories (e.g., Colantone & Sleuwaegen, 2010).…”
Section: Production and Operations Managementmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…Regional Science and Urban Economics 1 ics such as Schumpeterian/evolutionary (Lööf & Heshmati, 2002;Luo, 2009), neoclassical (e.g., Golombek & Raknerud, 2018), labor market (e.g., Bhaskar & To, 1999) and industrial organization perspectives (e.g., Kumar & Zhang, 2019). Other recurrent perspectives were the resource-based view and dynamic capabilities (e.g., Bruyaka & Durand, 2012), resource dependence theory (e.g., Gras & Mendoza-Abarca, 2014), and internationalization theories (e.g., Colantone & Sleuwaegen, 2010).…”
Section: Production and Operations Managementmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The deregistration can be from an official Business Register held and elaborated by National Statistical Offices (as in Cefis & Marsili, 2006) or it could be a "deregistration" from other commonly used datasets, such as Bureau van Dijk's Orbis, Amadeus, or Aida that report the records from firms' financial statements. In these latter cases, researchers infer the exit of the firms making assumptions regarding firms' behavior, like stopping production operations for a certain time period (Jensen & Miller, 2018;Kumar & Zhang, 2019) or not registering in Orbis or Amadeus any sales or assets for more than a few consecutive years. For example, in Bennett and Hall (2020), "deregistration" from Orbis is considered when no sales and no assets were recorded for at least 3 consecutive years.…”
Section: Exit As a Homogeneous Phenomenonmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…Our measure of demand shocks includes features related to product quality, location, checkout speed, the courteousness of store employees, parking, bagging services, and cleanliness. To recover revenue productivity and demand shocks, we rely on two output equations -product sales and market share index functions -and store's demand functions for labor and inventories accounting for investment in technology, product variety and the local environment in which a store operates (Doraszelski and Jaumandreu, 2013;Kumar and Zhang, 2018;Maican and Orth, 2019). 5 Market shares contain information about demand shocks, and rich sales data for the universe of stores allow us to use local market shares together with demand for inventories to recover external demand shocks.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…To avoid stock-outs, retailers spend more money on financing inventories than on advertising. Kumar and Zhang (2018) use the cost of goods to recover the distribution of demand shocks in manufacturing but do not model product variety.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%