“…In particular, quantitative risk analysis (QRA) allows an evaluation of the probability of certain outcomes of interest, under variable and uncertain conditions, as a basis for decision making (Nauta, 2000), and may be particularly suitable to explore systems with multiple tradeoffs, as long as sufficient quantitative data is available to characterize the system. QRA models have been used in diverse disciplines (Vose, 2008), but are particularly popular for food safety (Notermans and Teunis, 1996) and foreign animal disease risk assessments (Miller et al, 2017;Peeler et al, 2015). Although their application to the risk of disease transmission from bushmeat consumption and wildlife trade has been recommended (OIE -World Organisation for Animal Health and International Union for Conservation of Nature and Natural Resources, 2014), only a few instances exist to date (Franssen et al, 2017;Simons et al, 2016;Wooldridge et al, 2006).…”