2005
DOI: 10.1897/04-255r.1
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Probabilistic risk assessment for snails, slugs, and endangered honeycreepers in diphacinone rodenticide baited areas on Hawaii, USA

Abstract: Abstract-Three probabilistic models were developed for characterizing the risk of mortality and subacute coagulopathy to Poouli, an endangered nontarget avian species, in broadcast diphacinone-baited areas on Hawaii, USA. For single-day exposure, the risk of Poouli mortality approaches 0. For 5-d exposure, the mean probability of mortality increased to 3% for adult and 8% for juvenile Poouli populations. For Poouli that consume snails containing diphacinone residues for 14 d, the model predicted increased leve… Show more

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Cited by 32 publications
(30 citation statements)
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References 22 publications
(24 reference statements)
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“…Invertebrates have different bloodclotting mechanisms to vertebrates and so are less susceptible to anticoagulant rodenticides than birds and mammals (Shirer, 1992;Pain et al, 2000;Craddock, 2002;Johnston et al, 2005). However, ground-dwelling invertebrates can access and feed on rodenticides, including those placed in bait stations (Spurr and Drew, 1999;Dunlevy et al, 2000;Craddock, 2002), and retain ingested compound in their predation of contaminated invertebrates is likely to be a major pathway by which hedgehogs are exposed to anticoagulant rodenticides.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Invertebrates have different bloodclotting mechanisms to vertebrates and so are less susceptible to anticoagulant rodenticides than birds and mammals (Shirer, 1992;Pain et al, 2000;Craddock, 2002;Johnston et al, 2005). However, ground-dwelling invertebrates can access and feed on rodenticides, including those placed in bait stations (Spurr and Drew, 1999;Dunlevy et al, 2000;Craddock, 2002), and retain ingested compound in their predation of contaminated invertebrates is likely to be a major pathway by which hedgehogs are exposed to anticoagulant rodenticides.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In addition, a probabilistic-based exposure model was developed using Crystal Ball Software (Oracle Inc., Redwood City, CA) and used to estimate the quantity of rodent liver consumption that would be required to exceed various toxicological endpoints (Johnston et al 2005). For each iteration, a single value was Monte-Carlo sampled from each model input distribution.…”
Section: Statistical and Risk Analysesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Using the sublethal threshold for anemia and prolonged clotting time (0.24 mg/kg/day) and the aforementioned rodent liver residue data in the probabilistic-based exposure model of Johnston and coworkers (Johnston et al 2005), it was determined that a small fraction (1%) of the population of male Hawaiian short-eared owls would exceed the LOAEL if they consumed more than 3.72 g of liver per day, and 10% of the male population would exceed the LOAEL if 19.6 g of liver from DPN poisoned mice were consumed for 7 days (Fig. 6).…”
Section: Risk Assessment Of Dietary Exposure To Diphacinonementioning
confidence: 99%
“…As part of a Special Local Needs pesticide registration (FIFRA Section 24c) for broadcast application of diphacinone (0.005% in a grain-based pellet) for the control of rodents and wild pigs in Hawaii, its hazard to various species of birds was evaluated by both deterministic [37] and probabilistic [38] risk assessments. Using the greatest quantity of diphacinone found in a pig liver (3.07 mg/kg) and the available toxicity data for game birds (LD50 > 400 mg/kg for bobwhite), Eisemann and Swift [37] estimated the quantity of pig liver that would have to be scavenged by a Hawaiian hawk (Buteo solitarius; Federally listed as endangered) or a Hawaiian short-eared owl (Asio flammeus sandwichensis; State of Hawaii listed as endangered) to receive a median lethal dose would be 58.6 kg and 45.6 kg, respectively.…”
Section: Risk Evaluationmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…These quantities of liver are far greater than the weight of both the Hawaiian hawk and short-eared owl, so the risk associated with a single-day exposure to diphacinone would be low. However, applying the kestrel dose-response curve for lethality and the rodent liver residue data in the probabilistic-based 1-d exposure model described by Johnston et al [38], 50% of male Hawaiian hawks would have a 1% probability of mortality if they consumed 0.0035 kg of liver from diphacinone-poisoned rats (Supplemental Data, Fig. S2).…”
Section: Risk Evaluationmentioning
confidence: 99%