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Past Achievements and Future Trends
GROWTH, SOURCES, AND TYPOLOGYWithin the field of history, social history has been the greatest growth industry since World War II, with its sub-field family history having undergone an even more spectacular expansion. Although this growth has taken place all over the world, it has been most heavily concentrated in America, France, and England, which together account for nearly 40 percent of the total world output. The books and articles produced in these three countries, which are almost equal in the total volume of their respective output, have been outstanding in quality as well as quantity, for this is where most of the important and innovatory work has been done.1The output for these three countries is an indicator of how the field has grown. The number of significant books and articles published about family history rose in England and France from under ten every five years in the I920s, I930s, and early I940s to between 200 and 240 from 1972 to I976-a twentyfold increase in thirty years (Table I). What is so remarkable is the dizzy acceleration of growth in the 1970s, at a time when the total output of scholarly publications was leveling off as the economic crisis of academia began to affect both authors and publishers.In America the growth curve is basically similar, although it differs in some significant respects. The pre-war output, mostly devoted either to sociological theory or to the history of the post-1890 period, was already higher than that of England or France, Lawrence Stone is the Dodge Professor of History and the Director of the Shelby Cullom Davis Center for Historical Studies, Princeton University. Among his books is The Family, Sex and Marriage in England, 1500-1800 (London, I977).