Preparing for Uncertain Climate Change

Fetzek, Shiloh

doi:10.1080/03071840802249653

Cited by 1 publication

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“…Through the use of physically based models, climate science may offer less, or better defined, uncertainty in predictions of the future than other disciplines such as social science or economics. However, this does not mean that uncertainty within climate projections, particularly, on the temporal and spatial scales of most interest to decision makers, is not a limit to how useful the projections are to those decision makers . Global average temperatures, climatological means, extremes defined as a percentile of a climatology, are all examples of information provided by climate science, that can be difficult to interpret in a practical context.…”

Section: Climate Science Research For Securitymentioning

confidence: 99%

Knowledge problems in climate change and security research

Lewis

Lenton

2015

WIREs Climate Change

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The demand for policy-relevant information on climate change has never been higher, but there remains a gap between the type of information climate projections provide and an understanding of the consequences for human well-being. This review explores the knowledge available to support assessments of climate change and security for a wide range of policy stakeholders. Both the climate science and social science communities undertake valuable research toward understanding climate change and the interaction of environment and security, but address different aspects of the problem. Differences in the types of knowledge produced include analytical methods, language, and scale issues. This makes research conclusions difficult to reconcile and provides a barrier to knowledge sharing. It is largely left to policy and security analysts to bring these two very different types of information together in accessible, policy-relevant assessments. Often this is done by considering the potential implications of existing climate change projections, with little or no input from social scientists on the complexities of the relationship between environment and security. An alternative approach to climate change and security assessments is to consider the problem from a systems perspective. This approach has the potential to offer new insight across disciplines and improve the utility of research outcomes to inform action on climate change and security.

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Section: Climate Science Research For Securitymentioning

confidence: 99%