Plastic
waste is currently generated at a rate approaching 400
Mt year–1. The amount of plastics accumulating in
the environment is growing rapidly, yet our understanding of its persistence
is very limited. This Perspective summarizes the existing literature
on environmental degradation rates and pathways for the major types
of thermoplastic polymers. A metric to harmonize disparate types of
measurements, the specific surface degradation rate (SSDR), is implemented
and used to extrapolate half-lives. SSDR values cover a very wide
range, with some of the variability arising due to degradation studies
conducted in different natural environments. SSDRs for high density
polyethylene (HDPE) in the marine environment range from practically
0 to approximately 11 μm year–1. This approach
yields a number of interesting insights. Using a mean SSDR for HDPE
in the marine environment, linear extrapolation leads to estimated
half-lives ranging from 58 years (bottles) to 1200 years (pipes).
For example, SSDRs for HDPE and polylactic acid (PLA) are surprisingly
similar in the marine environment, although PLA degrades approximately
20 times faster than HDPE on land. Our study highlights the need for
better experimental studies under well-defined reaction conditions,
standardized reporting of rates, and methods to simulate polymer degradation
using.