Preemptive Repression: Deterrence, Backfiring, Iron Fists, and Velvet Gloves

Jaegher, Kris De; Hoyer, Britta

doi:10.1177/0022002717750450

Cited by 25 publications

(11 citation statements)

References 62 publications

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“…Political repression literature has focused on explaining why and how authorities use coercive power amid potential and existing challengers (Davenport 2007). While the repressor’s resources and motives have been widely analyzed, there is no single, concise explanation of the effects of repression on the victims (De Jaegher and Hoyer 2019). Following the same logic, the literature on APR has endeavored to explain the determinants of the phenomenon rather than its consequences (Hughes et al 2017).…”

Section: Barriers To the Critical Press And The Effects Of Violence Omentioning

confidence: 99%

Strategic Allies and the Survival of Critical Media under Repressive Conditions: An Empirical Analysis of Local Mexican Press

Rebolledo

2019

The International Journal of Press/Politics

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Why do some newspapers remain critical in contexts of antipress repression while others do not? It has been argued that aggressions against journalists generate a deterrence effect on the watchdog role of the press. However, evidence of the press remaining critical in hostile environments appears to defy this claim. In this paper, I explore the relationship between violent government repression and the critical function of the press. Using an original data set of local Mexican newspapers from 2011 to 2013, I examine the direct effects of violence on front-page headlines. I find that while repression does deter critical coverage, the ultimate effect is contingent upon the configuration of strategic press allies in the locality, reviewed here as nongovernmental organizations, opposition parties, and newspaper publishers.

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Section: Barriers To the Critical Press And The Effects Of Violence Omentioning

confidence: 99%

Strategic Allies and the Survival of Critical Media under Repressive Conditions: An Empirical Analysis of Local Mexican Press

Rebolledo

2019

The International Journal of Press/Politics

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“…The identification of this interplay is our article's most significant contribution. One of the main gaps of the empirical literature on repression is that it suffers identification problems (Ritter and Conrad 2016;De Jaegher and Hoyer 2019). Going beyond vague notions of getting repression "just right" (see, e.g., Fortna 2015, 531), we provide evidence of when and under which circumstances repression can prevent spillover.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 89%

When Conflicts Do Not Overspill: The Case of Jordan

Nesser¹,

Gråtrud²

2019

Perspect. polit.

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How can vulnerable states adjacent to countries embroiled in civil war avoid conflict contagion? Jordan has all the classic attributes highlighted in the literature as creating vulnerabilities susceptible to spillover. It adjoins Syria and Iraq where jihadists have operated freely. It has a weak economy, refugees pouring in from adjacent conflicts and is home to hundreds—if not thousands—of jihadists. Moreover, jihadists consider the Jordanian regime to be traitors—who conspire with the enemies of Islam—and they want to replace it with an Islamic state. However, as we show, very few jihadist attacks have happened in Jordan. We test three hypotheses for the limited spillover. Our analysis suggests a state policy that we dub “calibrated repression” is the most significant explanation. This means that Jordan protects against spillover by repressing jihadist attempts at infiltrating the kingdom and clamping down on local terrorist cells linked to the Islamic State while keeping other domestic jihadist elements in check through co-optation. The regime restrains the use of force against less acute threats and displays some leniency towards radicals when the situation allows. Our findings speak to the broader literature on spillover and offer insights into the understudied topic of mechanisms limiting spillover in high-risk environments.

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“…Protest movements may also survive repression by sustaining key abeyance structures (Taylor, 1989). More scholars have come to recognize that the relationship between repression and dissenting behavior is conditioned by an array of factors, such as types and targets of repression (Lichbach, 1987; Moore, 1998; Earl, 2011b; De Jaegher and Hoyer, 2019), time frame (Rasler, 1996), temporal sequence (Brockett, 1993; Sullivan et al ., 2012), and emotions (Klandermans et al ., 2008).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Does repression undermine opposition demands? The case of the Hong Kong National Security Law

Kobayashi

Song²,

Chan

2021

Japanese Journal of Political Science

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Does political repression extinguish public support for opposition demands? Protest emerges as a consequence of grievances and political preferences expressed as demands. Although the literature on the repression–dissent nexus has primarily focused on whether repression effectively deters dissenting behavior, a limitation is that researchers do not often distinguish between behavior and preferences. One possible implication is that although the observable protest behavior can be reduced by repression, underlying opposition demands may remain intact or even be strengthened. Hence, the question of why repression should alter public preferences remains theoretically under-investigated, because there is limited micro-level evidence that captures changes in opposition preferences induced by a repressive episode. We fielded comparable conjoint experiments before and after the enactment of the Hong Kong National Security Law in June 2020. Support for the demands was largely stable despite the sweeping powers of the law to curb protests, although some moderation of demands was observed. We outline avenues for future research on mechanisms and implications entailed by the effects of repression on preferences.

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Preemptive Repression: Deterrence, Backfiring, Iron Fists, and Velvet Gloves

Cited by 25 publications

References 62 publications

Strategic Allies and the Survival of Critical Media under Repressive Conditions: An Empirical Analysis of Local Mexican Press

Strategic Allies and the Survival of Critical Media under Repressive Conditions: An Empirical Analysis of Local Mexican Press

When Conflicts Do Not Overspill: The Case of Jordan

Does repression undermine opposition demands? The case of the Hong Kong National Security Law

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