Predictors of the perceived risk of climate change and preferred resource levels for climate change management programs

Mumpower, Jeryl L.; Liu, Xinsheng; Vedlitz, Arnold

doi:10.1080/13669877.2015.1043567

Cited by 35 publications

(43 citation statements)

References 33 publications

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“…For instance, Mumpower et al () found that level of perceived risk is a significant positive predictor of expressed willingness‐to‐pay for risk management programs for terrorist threats. Similar results have been found in a study on climate change risk perception and climate policy support (Mumpower et al, ). Based on these studies, we expect and hypothesize a positive relationship between citizens’ perceptions of terrorism risk and their support for government counterterrorism spending (Hypothesis 2A).…”

Section: Research Expectations and Hypothesessupporting

confidence: 90%

“…Mumpower et al () reported that three key psychometric variables—perceived severity of the potential consequences of a terrorist attack, perceived number of persons affected, and perceived likelihood of an attack—were significant positive predictors for various types of perceived risk of terrorist threats. In another recent study of public perception of climate change risk, Mumpower et al () confirmed that perceived risk levels were consistently driven by these three psychometric variables . Both studies showed that psychometric variables accounted for more variance in citizens’ risk perceptions than did social‐economic‐political variables (Mumpower et al, , ).…”

Section: Research Expectations and Hypothesesmentioning

confidence: 90%

“…In another recent study of public perception of climate change risk, Mumpower et al () confirmed that perceived risk levels were consistently driven by these three psychometric variables . Both studies showed that psychometric variables accounted for more variance in citizens’ risk perceptions than did social‐economic‐political variables (Mumpower et al, , ).…”

Section: Research Expectations and Hypothesesmentioning

confidence: 90%

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Perceived Risk of Terrorism and Policy Preferences for Government Counterterrorism Spending: Evidence From a U.S. National Panel Survey

Liu¹,

Mumpower²,

Portney³

et al. 2018

Risk Hazard & Crisis Pub Pol

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Drawing on past literature and using data from a two‐wave survey, we expand existing research to examine how individual social‐economic‐political characteristics and psychometric factors shape citizens’ terrorism risk perception, and how such risk perception and citizens’ perception of government competence affect policy preference for government counterterrorism spending. Using the two‐wave panel data, we also assess whether there is decay over time in the public's overall risk perception and in their overall policy preference for counterterrorism spending. We further examine the key factors driving changes between the two waves in individual respondents’ risk perception and spending preference. Results reveal that risk perception is influenced by both social‐economic‐political characteristics and psychometric factors, with the latter showing stronger predictive power, and that higher levels of risk perception and greater perceived government competence lead to stronger support for counterterrorism spending. We find no significant decay between the two waves in either the overall level of risk perception or the overall level of spending preference, but at the individual level, changes in risk perception are positively associated with changes in psychometric variables, and changes in spending preference are predicted by changes in perceived risk and changes in perceived government competence.

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Section: Research Expectations and Hypothesessupporting

confidence: 90%

Section: Research Expectations and Hypothesesmentioning

confidence: 90%

Section: Research Expectations and Hypothesesmentioning

confidence: 90%

See 1 more Smart Citation

Perceived Risk of Terrorism and Policy Preferences for Government Counterterrorism Spending: Evidence From a U.S. National Panel Survey

Liu¹,

Mumpower²,

Portney³

et al. 2018

Risk Hazard & Crisis Pub Pol

Self Cite

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“…Conceptually there are two layers in issue-specific knowledge: subjectively perceived knowledge-what they believe they know (Kellstedt, Zahran, & Vedlitz, 2008;Malka, Krosnick, & Langer, 2009)-and objectively assessed knowledgewhat they actually know (Bord, O'Connor, & Fisher, 2000;Mumpower, Liu, & Vedlitz, 2015;. Conceptually there are two layers in issue-specific knowledge: subjectively perceived knowledge-what they believe they know (Kellstedt, Zahran, & Vedlitz, 2008;Malka, Krosnick, & Langer, 2009)-and objectively assessed knowledgewhat they actually know (Bord, O'Connor, & Fisher, 2000;Mumpower, Liu, & Vedlitz, 2015;.…”

Section: Examining the Relationship Between Job Relevance/experiencmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…We use the variables analyzed in the previous section as control variables, as they are often found to be associated with individual climate policy preferences (Mumpower et al, 2015;Stoutenborough, Bromley-Trujillo, & Vedlitz, 2014), with the exception of Job Relevance/Experience. We use the variables analyzed in the previous section as control variables, as they are often found to be associated with individual climate policy preferences (Mumpower et al, 2015;Stoutenborough, Bromley-Trujillo, & Vedlitz, 2014), with the exception of Job Relevance/Experience.…”

Section: Examining the Relationship Between Overconfidence On Policmentioning

confidence: 99%

Bureaucratic expertise, overconfidence, and policy choice

2016

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Classic theory on bureaucracy suggests that one primary source of bureaucratic power in public administration and the policy‐making process derives from bureaucratic issue‐specific expertise. Studies in psychology and behavioral economics suggest that experienced experts tend to be overconfident in estimating their expertise, but few researchers have examined whether experienced bureaucrats are prone to overconfidence and, if so, how overconfidence may correlate with their policy choice. Drawing on past theoretical and empirical literature, this study is the first to investigate these questions by using survey data collected from 579 officials in various agencies related to climate change mitigation and adaptation. Our analyses demonstrate that (a) the level of issue‐specific expertise perceived by individual bureaucrats is positively associated with their work experience/job relevance to climate change, (b) more experienced bureaucrats tend to be more overconfident in assessing their expertise, and (c) overconfidence, independently of sociodemographic characteristics, attitudinal factors and political ideology, correlates positively with bureaucrats’ risk‐taking policy choices.

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The influence of climate change and environmental concerns on participation in new voluntourism by younger generations

Kim,

Lee

et al. 2024

Journal of Tourism Research

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This study investigates a new type of voluntourism that focuses on younger generations' environmental contribution in the context of a global climate crisis. The study describes the adoption process of new voluntourism by applying the Diffusion of Innovation (DOI) framework and examining the influence of its three innovation factors (compatibility, simplicity, and relative advantage along with the perceived risk of climate change on new voluntourism adoption attitude and behavioral intention). An online survey of 432 members of two demographic cohorts, Millennials and Generation Z, was conducted in South Korea. The results of structural equation modeling indicate that the perceived risk of climate change and DOI's innovation factors significantly affected new voluntourism adoption attitude and behavioral intention. The results confirmed that the perceived risk of climate change led to the diffusion and adoption of new voluntourism by younger generations. The theoretical and practical implications of the study's results are discussed.

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Predictors of the perceived risk of climate change and preferred resource levels for climate change management programs

Cited by 35 publications

References 33 publications

Perceived Risk of Terrorism and Policy Preferences for Government Counterterrorism Spending: Evidence From a U.S. National Panel Survey

Perceived Risk of Terrorism and Policy Preferences for Government Counterterrorism Spending: Evidence From a U.S. National Panel Survey

Bureaucratic expertise, overconfidence, and policy choice

The influence of climate change and environmental concerns on participation in new voluntourism by younger generations

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