Background
Alcohol dependence often goes untreated. Although abstinence is often the aim of alcohol treatment, many drinkers prefer drinking-reduction goals. Therefore, if supported by evidence of benefit, drinking-reduction goals could broaden the appeal of treatment. Regulatory agencies are considering non-abstinent outcomes as clinical trial efficacy indicators, including reduction in the World Health Organization (WHO) drinking risk levels: very high, high, moderate and low, defined in terms of average grams of ethanol per day. Little is known about the relationship between reductions in WHO risk levels and subsequent reduction in the risk for alcohol dependence.
Methods
In a U.S. national sample, 22 005 drinkers participated in Wave 1 interviews in 2001–2002 and Wave 2 follow-ups 3 years later. Alcohol consumption and alcohol dependence were assessed at both waves. Logistic regression tested the relationship between change in WHO drinking risk levels between Waves 1 and 2, and Wave 2 alcohol dependence.
Findings
Reductions of 1, 2 or 3 WHO risk levels predicted significantly lower odds of alcohol dependence at Wave 2, particularly among very high and high risk drinkers at Wave 1, and among those with alcohol dependence at Wave 1.
Interpretation
Results support the use of reductions in WHO drinking risk levels as clinical trial efficacy indicators. Because the levels can readily be translated into average drinks per day using the standard drink equivalents of different countries, the WHO risk levels could also be used internationally to guide treatment goals and clinical recommendations on drinking reduction.