Predictors of Favorable Growth Patterns During the Obesity Epidemic Among US School Children

Hernandez, Raquel; Marcell, Arik V.; Garcia, Janelle; Amankwah, Ernest K.; Cheng, Tina L.

doi:10.1177/0009922815570579

Cited by 13 publications

(12 citation statements)

References 39 publications

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“…(32) For example, parents of children with obesity either recalled their child always having obesity or developing obesity by age 5 years. (29) In Australia, 5-10 year-olds with overweight or obesity had 25 times and 240 times higher odds respectively of having overweight or obesity 3 years later than children with normal-weight.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Entrenched obesity in childhood: findings from a national cohort study

Cunningham

Datar

Narayan

et al. 2017

Annals of Epidemiology

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Purpose Given high levels of obesity among U.S. children, we examine whether obesity in childhood is a passing phenomenon or remains entrenched into adolescence. Methods Data are from the prospective nationally representative Early Childhood Longitudinal Study, Kindergarten Class of 1998–1999 (analytic sample=6,600). Anthropometrics were measured 6 times during 1998–2007. Overweight and obesity were defined using CDC cut-points. Entrenched obesity was defined as obesity between ages 5–9 coupled with persistent obesity at ages 11 and 14. Results Almost 30% of children experienced obesity at some point between ages 5.6 and 14.1 years; 63% of children who ever had obesity between ages 5.6 and 9.1 and 72% of those who had obesity at kindergarten entry experienced entrenched obesity. Children with severe obesity in kindergarten or who had obesity at more than one year during early elementary were very likely to experience obesity through age 14, regardless of their sex, race, or socio-economic background. Conclusions Prevention should focus on early childhood, as obesity at school entry is not often a passing phenomenon. Even one timepoint of obesity measured during the early elementary school years may be an indicator of risk for long-term obesity.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Entrenched obesity in childhood: findings from a national cohort study

Cunningham

Datar

Narayan

et al. 2017

Annals of Epidemiology

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“…This may be especially relevant for disadvantaged groups in light of racial/ethnic and socioeconomic disparities in childhood obesity. Previous studies have examined the individual-level factors that predict healthful BMI, 10,14 but few have examined individual and neighborhood variables concurrently. Many individual-level characteristics (e.g., race/ethnicity) cannot be modified, but attributes of a child's environment could be areas for potential change, and may therefore be critical in reducing disparities.…”

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confidence: 99%

Multilevel Correlates of Healthy BMI Maintenance and Return to a Healthy BMI among Children in Massachusetts

et al. 2017

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“…Generally, a weight development trend is established in early childhood that lasts into adulthood, and it is better to prevent childhood obesity before its onset since transitioning to a normal weight from being obese is difficult, and persistent obesity is common. 11 – 13 For example, two cohort studies in the United States showed that 65% of 5th-grade obese patients remained obese in 10th grade, 75% of 7-year-old obese patients were still obese at the age of 11, and 16% of overweight people became obese. 14 , 15 The study helps to identify how individuals’ BMI categories change within 5 years and whether these changes are consistent across populations.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Five-year change in body mass index category of childhood and the establishment of an obesity prediction model

Sun¹,

Xing²,

Liu

et al. 2020

Sci Rep

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The prevalence of childhood obesity in China has recently become increasingly severe, and intervention measures are needed to stop its growth. Currently, there is a lack of assessment and prediction methods for childhood obesity. We develop a predictive model that uses currently measured predictors [gender, age, urban/rural, height and body mass index (BMI)] to quantify children’s probabilities of belonging to one of four BMI category 5 years later and identify the high-risk group for possible intervention. A total of 88,980 students underwent a routine standard physical examination and were reexamined 5 years later to complete the study. The full model shows that boys, urban residence and height have positive effects and that age has a negative effect on transition to the overweight or obese category along with significant BMI effects. Our model correctly predicts BMI categories 5 years later for 70% of the students. From 2018 to 2023, the prevalence of obesity in rural boys and girls is expected to increase by 4% and 2%, respectively, while that in urban boys and girls is expected to remain unchanged. Predictive models help us assess the severity of childhood obesity and take targeted interventions and treatments to prevent it.

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Predictors of Favorable Growth Patterns During the Obesity Epidemic Among US School Children

Cited by 13 publications

References 39 publications

Entrenched obesity in childhood: findings from a national cohort study

Entrenched obesity in childhood: findings from a national cohort study

Multilevel Correlates of Healthy BMI Maintenance and Return to a Healthy BMI among Children in Massachusetts

Five-year change in body mass index category of childhood and the establishment of an obesity prediction model

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