2015
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijnurstu.2015.02.007
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Predictive validity of the START for unauthorised leave and substance abuse in a secure mental health setting: A pseudo-prospective cohort study

Abstract: The study provides limited support for the START by demonstrating the predictive validity of its specific risk estimates for substance abuse and unauthorised leave. High negative predictive values suggest the tool may be of most utility in screening out low risk individuals from unnecessary restrictive interventions; very low positive predictive values suggest caution before implementing restrictive interventions in those rated at elevated risk. Researchers should investigate how multidisciplinary teams formul… Show more

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Cited by 12 publications
(6 citation statements)
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“…No previous studies are known to the authors to have studied the predictive validity of dynamic risk and protective factors for leave approvals or positive treatment outcomes, other than discharge. Previous studies have focused mainly on violations during leave or unauthorized leave [ 36 ]. De Vries and Spreen [ 11 ] mentioned that ‘the factors on which therapists base their decisions are now barely studied.’ When they studied decision-making with the risk assessment tool HKT-30, they found a higher value of social skills, self-reliance, hostility, impulsivity and coping skills in patients who violated rules during leave, and a predictive value of (AUC = .71) for the combination of substance use, impulsivity and a lack of empathy for violation of rules during leave [ 11 ].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…No previous studies are known to the authors to have studied the predictive validity of dynamic risk and protective factors for leave approvals or positive treatment outcomes, other than discharge. Previous studies have focused mainly on violations during leave or unauthorized leave [ 36 ]. De Vries and Spreen [ 11 ] mentioned that ‘the factors on which therapists base their decisions are now barely studied.’ When they studied decision-making with the risk assessment tool HKT-30, they found a higher value of social skills, self-reliance, hostility, impulsivity and coping skills in patients who violated rules during leave, and a predictive value of (AUC = .71) for the combination of substance use, impulsivity and a lack of empathy for violation of rules during leave [ 11 ].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Physical Violence START vulnerability score, strength score, and specific risk estimates all showed significant and high predictive validity for physical violence in the 6-month follow-up period. Past studies have consistently found that START was predictive of physical violence in 3-12 months (12,(27)(28)(29)(30)(31)(32). START risk/vulnerability items for judging physical violence risk may thus also be generalizable to MDOs in Japan.…”
Section: Predictive Validitymentioning
confidence: 90%
“…Also, there is scant evidence that recovery‐focused care could reduce violence and aggression (Lim et al., 2017) as well as a structured behavioural plan (Bisconer et al, 2006). There are also a few interventions that seek to assess the risk of violence to reduce escalation, like START (O’Shea & Dickens, 2015) or DASA (Maguire et al., 2019). Based on the results of this study and previous research, we suggest that the use of de‐escalation interventions should be implemented and evaluated systematically in psychiatric outpatient settings as well.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%