Predictive modeling of postoperative gastrointestinal dysfunction: the role of serum bilirubin, sodium levels, and surgical duration in gynecological cancer care

Abstract

Objective To elucidate the role of preoperative serum bilirubin and sodium levels, along with the duration of surgery, in predicting postoperative gastrointestinal dysfunction (POGD) following gynecological cancer surgery, informing tailored perioperative strategies. Methods We conducted a retrospective analysis of 281 patients undergoing gynecological cancer surgery between 2018 and 2023. This analysis focused on preoperative serum bilirubin and sodium levels and intraoperative factors (surgical duration) as potential predictors of POGD. Logistic regression models were utilized for analysis, controlling for relevant confounders. Results Elevated preoperative serum bilirubin was associated with a reduced risk of POGD (mean level in non-POGD cases: 14.172 ± 4.0701, vs. POGD cases: 9.6429 ± 3.5351; p < 0.001), suggesting a protective role. Lower preoperative sodium levels were identified in the POGD group (136.26 mEq/L [IQR: 135.2–137.63]) compared to the non-POGD group (139.32 mEq/L [IQR: 137.7–140.75]; p < 0.001), highlighting its predictive value. Additionally, longer surgical duration was associated with increased POGD incidence, with POGD cases experiencing surgeries lasting 6.1547 ± 1.9426 hours compared to 4.5959 ± 1.5475 hours in non-POGD cases (p < 0.001). Conclusion Our findings underscore the importance of serum bilirubin, sodium levels, and surgical duration as significant predictors of POGD in patients undergoing gynecological cancer surgery. These indicators should be integrated into a predictive model, aiding clinicians in identifying high-risk patients, allowing for personalized perioperative care adjustments, potentially mitigating POGD risks.