Predictive Analysis of Healthcare Resource Utilization after Elective Spine Surgery

Abstract

Introduction:The management of degenerative spine pathology continues to be a significant source of costs to the US healthcare system. Besides surgery, utilization of healthcare resources after spine surgery drives costs. The responsibility of managing costs is gradually shifting to patients and providers. Patient-centered predictors of healthcare utilization after elective spine surgery may identify targets for cost reduction and value creation. Therefore, our study aims to quantify patterns of healthcare utilization and identify risk factors that predict high healthcare utilization after elective spine surgery.Methods: A total of 623 patients who underwent elective spine surgery at a tertiary academic medical center by one of three fellowship-trained orthopedic spine surgeons between 2013 and 2018 were identified in this retrospective cohort study. Healthcare utilization was quantified including advanced spine imaging, emergency and urgent care visits, hospital readmission, reoperation, PT/OT referrals, opioid prescriptions, epidural steroid injections, and pain management referrals. Patient variables, namely, the Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) and the American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification system, were assessed as potential predictors for healthcare utilization.Results: Among all patients, a wide range of health utilization was identified. Age, body mass index, Charlson Comorbidity Index, and American Society of Anesthesiology class were identified as positive predictors of postoperative healthcare utilization including emergency department visits, spine imaging studies, opioid and nerve blocker prescriptions, inpatient rehabilitation, any referrals, and pain management referrals.Conclusions: Markers of patient health-such as CCI and ASA class-may be used to predict healthcare utilization following elective spine surgery. Identifying at-risk patients and addressing these challenges prior to surgery is an important step to deliver efficient postoperative care.