Prediction of student clinical performance

Hobfoll, Stevan E.; Benor, Dan E.

doi:10.1111/j.1365-2923.1981.tb02638.x

Cited by 28 publications

(16 citation statements)

References 7 publications

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“…Most studies have not detected any predictive validity of admission interviews for medical school grades (Eva et al 2004;Groves et al 2004;Smith 1991;Hobfoll and Benor 1981;Weiss et al 1988;Basco et al 2000), success on licensing examinations (Kulatunga-Moruzi and Norman 2002a) and intern performance ratings (Rolfe et al 1995b) ( Table 2). Some authors have reported that high scores on admission interviews predicted achievement of honors (Powis et al 1992), the Dean's letters of recommendation on graduation (Ferguson et al 2002), OSCE scores (Peskun et al 2007), ranking for admission for Family Medicine residency (Peskun et al 2007), performance on tests of diagnostic reasoning (Groves et al 2003) and communication skills (Kulatunga-Moruzi and Norman 2002b), while low scores predicted withdrawal rates from medical schools (Powis et al 1992) (Table 2).…”

Section: Selection Of Applicants For Medical School 511mentioning

confidence: 96%

Uncertainties in the selection of applicants for medical school

Benbassat

Baumal

2007

Adv in Health Sci Educ

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Decisions about admissions to medical school are based on assessments of the applicants' cognitive achievements and non-cognitive traits. Admission criteria are expected to be fair, transparent, evidence-based and legally defensible. However, unlike cognitive criteria, which are highly reliable and moderately valid, the reliability and validity of the non-cognitive criteria are low or uncertain. Their uncertain predictive value is due not only to their limited validity, but also to the unknown prevalence of the desirable non-cognitive traits in the applicants' pool. Consequently, the use of non-cognitive admission criteria inevitably leads to rejection of an unknown proportion of applicants who have a desirable trait and selection of applicants who lack this trait. We propose that, rather than using non-cognitive admission criteria, admission officers should assist prospective applicants to make informed decisions based on a reflective self-appraisal whether or not to apply to medical school. To this end, medical schools should disseminate information on the strains of medical training and practice, the frequency of medical errors and the most common causes of dissatisfaction and burn-out among practicing physicians. Such information may improve the self-selection process and thereby enrich the applicants' pool for individuals with appropriate motivation. The final selection of medical students may then be based either on past academic achievements, or on a lottery, or on various combinations thereof.

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Section: Selection Of Applicants For Medical School 511mentioning

confidence: 96%

Uncertainties in the selection of applicants for medical school

Benbassat

Baumal

2007

Adv in Health Sci Educ

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“…The personality trait most often indicated as a positive predictor of high achievement during medical school and future success in the medical career was 'conscientiousness' (Huxham et al 1980;Hobfoll & Benor 1981;Jones 1991;Ferguson et al 2000;Skommer & Gromadecka-Sutkiewicz 2005). In one of the studies, however, it was found that Practice points .…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Psychological factors determining success in a medical career: A 10-year longitudinal study

et al. 2011

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Background: Systemic review of predictors of success in medical career is an important tool to recognize the indicators of proper training. Aim: To determine psychological factors that predict success in a medical career. The success is defined as professional competence, satisfaction with medicine as a career, occupational stress and burnout and quality of life (QOF). Methods: Part I (1999Part I ( -2005, medical students were examined each subsequent year, beginning with admission. Assessment included academic achievement (high school final examination results, entrance exam results, academic results during medical school) and psychological characteristics (sense of coherence (SOC), depression, anxiety, coping styles, value system and need for social approval). Part II (2008II ( -2009, the same participants completed an Internet survey 4 years after graduation. Results of the postgraduate medical exam were taken under consideration. Results: Academic achievement predicts only professional competence. Coping styles are significant indicators of satisfaction with medicine as a career. SOC, while assessed with anxiety and depression during studies, enabled us to recognize future QOF of medical graduates. Professional stress is not predictable to such an extent as other success indicators. Conclusions: There are significant psychological qualities useful to draw the outline of the future job and life performance of medical graduates.

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“…Both aptitude and achievement variables have generally been found to be more or less valid predictors of performance in the first years of medical school, but their predictive validity has been shown to decrease during the period of clinical training (e.g. Richards et al 1962; Gough & Hall 1975; Kegel‐Flom 1975; Hobfoll & Benor 1981). There are several possible interpretations for this result.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Selecting candidates for a medical school: an evaluation of a selection model based on cognitive and personality predictors

et al. 1988

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Two studies were conducted to attempt to evaluate the selection procedures used in Hadassah Medical School. The predictors assessed were the Israeli high school matriculation examinations, a general aptitude test, an interview and a semi-projective test designed to assess personality pathology. In the first study 145 students of the 1975 and 1976 cohorts were assessed, the criteria being a combination of peer evaluations, evaluation of supervisors and academic record. Results showed the matriculation average score to be the only effective predictor for all criteria. In the second study 155 students of the 1979, 1980 and 1981 cohorts were assessed, the criteria being evaluation of supervising doctors, BSc grades and grades during the clinical period. Results again indicated that the matriculation test is the most effective predictor. In this study, however, the other variables added to the prediction of criteria based on clinical evaluations. The results were discussed, raising several possible explanations for the relatively high validity of the matriculation scores. It was suggested the matriculation scores capture personality dimensions, such as motivation and adjustment to the learning environment, which are important factors for success in medical training.

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Prediction of student clinical performance

Cited by 28 publications

References 7 publications

Uncertainties in the selection of applicants for medical school

Uncertainties in the selection of applicants for medical school

Psychological factors determining success in a medical career: A 10-year longitudinal study

Selecting candidates for a medical school: an evaluation of a selection model based on cognitive and personality predictors

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