2020
DOI: 10.1038/s41746-020-0234-6
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Prediction of stress and drug craving ninety minutes in the future with passively collected GPS data

Abstract: Just-in-time adaptive interventions (JITAIs), typically smartphone apps, learn to deliver therapeutic content when users need it. The challenge is to "push" content at algorithmically chosen moments without making users trigger it with effortful input. We trained a randomForest algorithm to predict heroin craving, cocaine craving, or stress (reported via smartphone app 3x/day) 90 min into the future, using 16 weeks of field data from 189 outpatients being treated for opioid-use disorder. We used only one form … Show more

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Cited by 46 publications
(24 citation statements)
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References 69 publications
(72 reference statements)
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“…More recently, mental health relevant research using personal sensing of raw data streams other than self-report is emerging. This includes methods to sense geolocation [14][15][16], cellular communications [16][17][18][19][20], sleep [20], and physiology [21,22], as examples.…”
Section: Personal Sensingmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…More recently, mental health relevant research using personal sensing of raw data streams other than self-report is emerging. This includes methods to sense geolocation [14][15][16], cellular communications [16][17][18][19][20], sleep [20], and physiology [21,22], as examples.…”
Section: Personal Sensingmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…One study used a random forest algorithm to predict opioid craving or stress in the user through their movement as assessed by GPS. [77] The other study tested an AI enabled peer support platform that patients with OUD could use to support their recovery. [78] In both cases, further development of the model was being planned.…”
Section: Table S1mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Assessment of geography via passive sensing of geolocation using GPS has demonstrated that drug craving, stress, and mood among persons with an opioid use disorder were predicted by exposure to visible signs of environmental disorder along a GPS-derived [ 74 , 75 ] track (such as visible signs of poverty, violence, and drug activity). A recent digital health EMA study demonstrated a stronger link between drug craving and drug use than between stress and drug use—a result that was not well-documented or understood from prior traditional clinical assessment [ 76 ].…”
Section: The State Of the Science Of Digital Health Data-driven Appromentioning
confidence: 99%