2010
DOI: 10.1001/archgenpsychiatry.2009.206
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Prediction of Psychosis in Adolescents and Young Adults at High Risk

Abstract: The prediction model identified an increased risk of psychosis with appropriate prognostic accuracy in our sample. A 2-step risk assessment is proposed, with UHR and cognitive disturbance criteria serving as first-step criteria for general risk and the prognostic index as a second-step tool for further risk classification of each patient. This strategy will allow clinicians to target preventive measures and will support efforts to unveil the biological and environmental mechanisms underlying progression to psy… Show more

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Cited by 569 publications
(222 citation statements)
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References 72 publications
(117 reference statements)
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“…However, evidence is still lacking for other neuroimaging features. Several authors have now suggested to aim for a two steps approach in the management of at-risk patients by adding a classification step after their clinical identification (Koutsouleris et al 2012;Ruhrmann et al 2010). The proposed classifications may use clinical, cognitive, environmental and neuroimaging features alone or in combination (Shah et al 2012).…”
Section: Identification Of Patients With Psychotic Symptoms Within Thmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…However, evidence is still lacking for other neuroimaging features. Several authors have now suggested to aim for a two steps approach in the management of at-risk patients by adding a classification step after their clinical identification (Koutsouleris et al 2012;Ruhrmann et al 2010). The proposed classifications may use clinical, cognitive, environmental and neuroimaging features alone or in combination (Shah et al 2012).…”
Section: Identification Of Patients With Psychotic Symptoms Within Thmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…1c; table 1), as longitudinal studies had indicated that a decline in functioning indicates a higher risk of transition to psychosis [17,18]. …”
Section: Uhr and Related Criteria And Their Operationalizationmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…1a), was made in the European Prediction of Psychosis Study (EPOS) [18]. Therein, APS and BLIPS were alternatively assessed by the SIPS positive items as well as by the ‘odd behavior or appearance’ (SIPS-D1) item but not by the other 3 disorganized items (tables 1, 2).…”
Section: Other Uhr-related At-risk Approachesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…С одной стороны, сочетание таких симптомов с тремя другими критериями «ультравысокого риска» суще-ственно повышает риск манифестации заболевания [15], а с другой, проведенные скрининговые исследования попу-ляции здоровых подростков показали, что отдельные из этих симптомов могут встречаться у каждого 10-го [16]. В связи с этим даже было предложено относить эти сим-птомы к возрастной норме.…”
unclassified
“…По данным ряда авторов [15,19,[20][21][22][23], манифестация психоза в группе ультравысо-кого риска составляет в течение 6 мес 18% (12-25%), 1 года -22% (17-28%), 2 лет -29% (23-36%), 3 лет -32% (24-35%), более 3 лет (3 года -5 лет) -36% (30-43%). Было проведено несколько работ [24,25], касающихся ка-тамнеза пациентов из группы риска, у которых эндоген-ный психоз не манифестировал.…”
unclassified