Prediction of marathon performance time on the basis of training indices

Abstract

Tanda G. Prediction of marathon performance time on the basis of training indices. J. Hum. Sport Exerc. Vol. 6, No. 3, pp. 511-520, 2011. The purpose of this study was to examine the relationship between marathon performance time (MPT) and some training factors recorded for a given number of weeks prior to a race. Twenty-two runners, age 28-54 years, participated as subjects in this investigation. They kept daily exercise records during their marathon training for an overall number of 46 races, whose marathon time ranged from 167 to 216 min. Among the several parameters investigated, MPT was found to be affected mainly by the mean distance run per week K, during the training period under observation, and by the mean training pace P. These two training parameters have been combined by a mathematical approach to give a correlation for the prediction of the mean marathon pace P m (easily related to MPT), based on an 8-week training period, as follows: P m (sec/km) = 17.1 + 140.0 exp [-0.0053 K(km/week)] + 0.55 P (sec/km). The above correlation is able to estimate the MPT with a SEE of about 4 min.

 Running speed during training and percent body fat predict race time in recreational male marathoners

“…In contrast with the findings of Tanda, we could not confirm the findings describing an equation based on training duration and training speed 25. The differences between the results reported by Tanda and our findings may be partly explained by the longer period of the training diary used in our study, the difference in weekly running kilometers, greater variability in marathon race time, and the larger sample.…”

“…Frequency, intensity, and volume of training seem to be of great importance 10,11,13,20. Tanda described a strong correlation between training volume and intensity during an eight-week training period and marathon performance 25. Different training variables, such as the number of training units, kilometers completed during a training unit, maximum kilometers completed during a training unit, total time spent running during training, mean weekly running kilometers, maximal weekly running kilometers, and mean daily run kilometers were related to marathon race times 11,20,26.…”

Predicting Marathon Time Using Exhaustive Graded Exercise Test in Marathon Runners

“…The authors chose the measurement time running per week based on this principle and did not record participants distance run per week. Tanda et al and Hagan et al found distance run per week recorded in a training diary predictive of MPT (4,8). The recording of the number of hours run per week by participants in this study was subject to recall bias as it was asked retrospectively.…”

“…Tanda (8) explored training factors in a small study of 22 runners. They found a significant correlation between MPT and both mean distance run per week (r = 0.81) and mean training pace (r = 0.85) (8).…”

“…Tanda (8) explored training factors in a small study of 22 runners. They found a significant correlation between MPT and both mean distance run per week (r = 0.81) and mean training pace (r = 0.85) (8). Tanda (8) found no predictive value from number of days training per week, mean distance run per day, or number of previous marathons completed.…”