Prediction of Land Cover Model for Central Ambon City in 2041 Using the Cellular Automata Markov Chains Method

Abstract

The Ambon city center area based on the 2021-2041 RDTR is a center of economic, educational and cultural activities, this makes economic and population growth focused in this region. This also triggers the arrival of residents from other areas to Ambon City and will have an impact on increasing the provision of land for settlements. This condition is expected to trigger land conversion in this area. This study aims to analyze land cover changes in Ambon City in 2001, 2011, 2021 and predict land cover in 2041. This study uses Cellular Automata Markov Chains modeling to predict land cover in the central area of Ambon City in 2041. The results show that the type of built-up land cover and open land continued to increase in area, while agricultural and non-agricultural areas continued to experience a decrease in area and water bodies did not experience a decrease in area. The results of this study are expected to be used as a reference in managing the development of sustainable residential areas and as an effort to arrange land use in the Ambon City center area in the future based on ecological aspects.

Sebaran Objek Wisata Bahari di Kecamatan Nusaniwe Kota Ambon Berbasis Sistem Informasi Geografis

“…Pemanfaatan sistem informasi geografis (SIG) dapat memberikan kontribusi yang signifikan dalam analisis sebaran objek wisata bahari di Kecamatan Nusaniwe (Mehdil et al, 2022;Manakane et al, 2023). SIG memungkinkan pengumpulan, penyimpanan, pengolahan, dan visualisasi data geografis yang berkaitan dengan lokasi objek wisata, infrastruktur pendukung, kondisi lingkungan, serta faktor-faktor penting lainnya (Rakuasa et al, 2023). Dengan menggunakan SIG, dapat dilakukan analisis spasial yang mendalam untuk memahami sebaran objek wisata bahari, pola kunjungan wisatawan, dan potensi-potensi pengembangan baru (Supriyatama & Wesnawa, 2019).…”

Spatial Analysis of Land Use Change in Slawi Subdistrict, Tegal Regency, 2014 - 2024 Using High Resolution Satellite Imagery Data

“…Land use refers to the modifications made by humans to the living environment, such as fields, agriculture, and settlements [1], [2]. Land use also includes the land cover of the earth's surface and the use of that land cover in an area [3], [4]. Land use information is different from land cover information that can be recognized directly from remote sensing satellite images [5], [6].…”

Prediction of Land Cover Change in Wae Heru Watershed Ambon City Using Celular Automata Markov Chain

“…Fallati et al (2017), explained that land cover change is the increase of a land cover from one cover to another followed by a decrease in another type of land cover over time, or a change in the function of a land in different periods of time. Based on previous research conducted by Somae et al (2023), on spatial modeling of land cover change in Teluk Ambon Baguala Sub-district, the Wae Heru Watershed has experienced land cover change in 2014, 2018, 2022. The phenomenon of land cover change that occurs in Ambon City is influenced by political/policy and socio-economic factors, causing soil and water degradation that has an impact on ecosystems, biodiversity, and climate change can be modeled through land cover change modeling (Mohamed & Worku, 2019;Saha et al, 2021;Rakuasa et al, 2023). Rapid economic development can also lead to land use change, resulting in contrasting variations of different land use and land cover classes that can be identified through land cover maps (Dutta et al, 2019;Wang et al, 2022; According to Somae et al (2023), the influence of political, policy, and socioeconomic factors has contributed to land cover change in the Wae Heru watershed.…”