“…In fact, these models presume that maximum temperature will decrease with reduced transmissivity, whilst minimum temperature will increase because of the cloud emissivity. Clear skies will increase maximum temperature due to higher shortwave radiation during sunshine hours, and minimum temperature will decrease due to higher transmissivity at night times; so the difference between daily maximum and minimum air temperatures becomes an indicator of cloudiness (Almorox et al, 2013) Estimating the horizontal global solar radiation using different artificial and computational intelligence techniques including the artificial neural network (ANN) (Tymvios et al 2005;Mubiru and Banda 2008;Şenkal and Kuleli 2009;Solmaz and Ozgoren, 2012), particle swarm optimization (PSO) (Mohandes, 2012), adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) (Mellit et al 2007;Rahoma et al, 2011;Sumithira and Kumar, 2012;Güçlü et al, 2014;Mohanty et al, 2015;Mohammadi et al, 2015a), support vector machine (SVM) (Chen et al, 2013;Mohammadi et al, 2015b;Mohammadi et al, 2015c), and etc. has received tremendous attention in recent years.…”
“…In fact, these models presume that maximum temperature will decrease with reduced transmissivity, whilst minimum temperature will increase because of the cloud emissivity. Clear skies will increase maximum temperature due to higher shortwave radiation during sunshine hours, and minimum temperature will decrease due to higher transmissivity at night times; so the difference between daily maximum and minimum air temperatures becomes an indicator of cloudiness (Almorox et al, 2013) Estimating the horizontal global solar radiation using different artificial and computational intelligence techniques including the artificial neural network (ANN) (Tymvios et al 2005;Mubiru and Banda 2008;Şenkal and Kuleli 2009;Solmaz and Ozgoren, 2012), particle swarm optimization (PSO) (Mohandes, 2012), adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) (Mellit et al 2007;Rahoma et al, 2011;Sumithira and Kumar, 2012;Güçlü et al, 2014;Mohanty et al, 2015;Mohammadi et al, 2015a), support vector machine (SVM) (Chen et al, 2013;Mohammadi et al, 2015b;Mohammadi et al, 2015c), and etc. has received tremendous attention in recent years.…”
“…Solmaz and Ozgoren [13] applied the artificial neural network (ANN) for determining the hourly GSR values of six selected locations in Turkey. According to their results, ANN produced proficient results in predicting solar radiation.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Furthermore, inspecting the literature exposes that a very few studies have been carried out to use the optimized SVM for the precise calculation of solar radiation [10,11,12]. Solmaz and Ozgoren [13] applied the artificial neural network (ANN) for determining the hourly GSR values of six selected locations in Turkey. According to their results, ANN produced proficient results in predicting solar radiation.…”
A fundamental factor for proficient designing of solar energy systems is providing precise estimations of the solar radiation. Global solar radiation (GSR) is a vital parameter for designing and operating solar energy systems. Because records of GSR are not available in many places, especially in developing countries, this research aims to model the GSR using support vector regression (SVR) in a hybrid manner that is integrated with the firefly Optimization algorithm (SVR-FFA). For this purpose, the daily meteorological parameters and GSR measured from beginning of 2011 to the end of 2013 at Tabriz synoptic station were utilized. For assessing the performance of the mentioned methods, different statistical indicators were implemented. For all of the defined predictive models with different combinations of meteorological parameters, the performance of the SVR-FFA hybrid model is better than the classical SVR, evidenced by the higher value of R (~0892-0.982 relative to ~0.891-0.977) and lower values of RMSE and MAE (~1.551-3.725vs.1.748-4.067 and ~0.911-2.862vs.1.103-2.742). As a remarkable point studied empirical equations had higher prediction errors comparing with the developed SVR-FFA models. Conclusively, the obtained results proved the high proficiencies of SVR-FFA method for predicting global solar radiation.
“…The outcome exhibited that the correlation coefficient between the ANN predictions and measured data exceeded 90%, thereby projecting a superior consistence of the model for assessment of solar radiation for locations in Nigeria. Solmaz and Ozgoren (2012) initiated the technique of artificial neural network to determine the hourly solar radiation of six chosen provinces in Turkey. According to the results, an artificial neural network model is capable for quick prediction of hourly solar radiation of the selected cities in Turkey.…”
Global solar radiation (GSR) is an essential parameter for the design and operation of solar energy systems. Long-standing records of global solar radiation data are not available in many places because of the cost and maintenance of the measuring instruments. The major objective of this work is to develop an ANN model for accurately predicting solar radiation. Two ANN models with four different algorithms are considered in the present study. Meteorological data collected for the last 10 years from five different locations across India have been used to train the models. The best ANN algorithm and model are identified based on minimum mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square error (RMSE) and maximum linear correlation coefficient (R). Further, the present study confirms that prediction accuracy of the ANN model depends on the complete set of data being used for training the network for the intended application. The developed ANN model has a low mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) which ascertains the accuracy and suitability of the model to predict the monthly average global radiation so as to design or evaluate solar energy installations, where the meteorological data measuring facilities are not in place in India. All Rights Reserved
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