Predicting the potential impact of climate change on the declining agroforestry species Borassus aethiopum Mart. in Benin: a mixture of geostatistical and SDM approach

Salako, Kolawolé Valère; Vihotogbé, Romaric; Houéhanou, Thierry D.; Sodé, Idelphonse Akoeugnigan; Kakaï, Romain Glèlè

doi:10.1007/s10457-018-0262-2

Cited by 18 publications

(6 citation statements)

References 56 publications

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“…f [ 43 ]. and Borassus aethiopum Mart [ 44 ]. The contribution of soil sand content in percent for 22.5 cm depth, known for its physiological action, was also important (25.99%) to predict the habitats of R. heudelotii .…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Habitat range shift and prediction of the potential future distribution of Ricinodendron heudelotii (Baill.) Heckel in Benin (West Africa)

Hounsou-Dindin,

Idohou,

Agre

et al. 2023

Heliyon

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Habitat range shift and prediction of the potential future distribution of Ricinodendron heudelotii (Baill.) Heckel in Benin (West Africa)

Hounsou-Dindin,

Idohou,

Agre

et al. 2023

Heliyon

Self Cite

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“…We randomly selected 75% of the distribution data as the training set to establish a prediction model, and the remaining 25% were used as the test set for model validation (Zhang et al, 2016 ). The maximum number of iterations was 1000, and the number of model repetitions was 10 (Salako et al, 2019 ). Jackknife analysis using Maxent was performed to determine the weight of each variable (Zhang et al, 2016 ).…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The maximum number of iterations was 1000, and the number of model repetitions was 10 (Salako et al, 2019). Jackknife analysis using Maxent was performed to determine the weight of each variable (Zhang et al, 2016).…”

Section: Model Analysismentioning

confidence: 99%

Predicting the distribution of plant associations under climate change: A case study on Larix gmelinii in China

Chen

Zhang

Wan

et al. 2022

Ecology and Evolution

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Association is the basic unit of plant community classification. Exploring the distribution of plant associations can help improve our understanding of biodiversity conservation. Different associations depend on different habitats and studying the association level is important for ecological restoration, regional ecological protection, regulating the ecological balance, and maintaining biodiversity. However, previous studies have only focused on suitable distribution areas for species and not on the distribution of plant associations. Larix gmelinii is a sensitive and abundant species that occurs along the southern margin of the Eurasian boreal forests, and its distribution is closely related to permafrost. In this study, 420 original plots of L. gmelinii forests were investigated. We used a Maxent model and the ArcGIS software to project the potential geographical distribution of L. gmelinii associations in the future (by 2050 and 2070) according to the climate scenarios RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, and RCP 8.5. We used the multi‐classification logistic regression analysis method to obtain the response of the suitable area change for the L. gmelinii alliance and associations to climate change under different climate scenarios. Results revealed that temperature is the most crucial factor affecting the distribution of L. gmelinii forests and most of its associations under different climate scenarios. Suitable areas for each association type are shrinking by varying degrees, especially due to habitat loss at high altitudes in special terrains. Different L. gmelinii associations should have different management measures based on the site conditions, composition structure, growth, development, and renewal succession trends. Subsequent research should consider data on biological factors to obtain more accurate prediction results.

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“…A most likely explanation would be that these two disjunct populations are the result of local extinction of intervening populations, or the intervening habitat being unsuitable. Elsewhere in Africa, B. aethiopum is characterised by such wide distributions, and similarly with high local abundance (Salako et al 2018b).…”

Section: Dispersalmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…This was, however, not typical for B. aethiopum (PI = 2), which has a discontinuous population, where larger individuals (3.1 m -5.0 m tall) show a higher frequency than the previous size class. This could be explained by recruitment events as sub-adult and adult plants of the same size are often found in separate clumps creating patches of high local abundance (Salako et al 2018b). Established sub-juveniles (0.1 m -1.0 m tall) and juveniles (1.1 m -3.0 m tall) were also not associated with these clumps and were found further away (Figure 2f).…”

Section: Population Structurementioning

confidence: 99%

Borassus aethiopum Mart. (Arecaceae) in Limpopo province with a key to South African palms

Siebert

Struwig

2019

Bothalia

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Background: Borassus aethiopum Mart. commonly occurs in many parts of tropical Africa and in South Africa it is restricted to the Leydsdorp region where it is conspicuous along the Selati River. The species is sometimes considered to have been introduced to South Africa due to its disjunct distribution. It has remained poorly studied and little is known about the local populations of this palm.Objectives: This study provides a descriptive treatment and documents the population structure of B. aethiopum in this area, and presents a key to the six indigenous palm species of South Africa.Methods: All accessible populations were surveyed and documented, and eight transects were randomly placed to gather data on size class distributions. B. aethiopum and other indigenous palm species were compared morphologically.Results: The population structure analyses of B. aethiopum revealed a monotonic decline, but the permutation index suggested that the species is prone to recruitment events. This is supported by patches that are dominated by specific height classes. Leaf shape and size, fruit size and geographical distribution were the diagnostic characters most useful to recognize the species of South African indigenous palms.Conclusion: Borassus aethiopum is distinguishable from other South African palms based on stem, leaf and fruit characters. It is considered as indigenous to Granite Lowveld as the palm is part of the natural vegetation and is characterized by a size class distribution reflecting a stable population.

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Predicting the potential impact of climate change on the declining agroforestry species Borassus aethiopum Mart. in Benin: a mixture of geostatistical and SDM approach

Cited by 18 publications

References 56 publications

Habitat range shift and prediction of the potential future distribution of Ricinodendron heudelotii (Baill.) Heckel in Benin (West Africa)

Habitat range shift and prediction of the potential future distribution of Ricinodendron heudelotii (Baill.) Heckel in Benin (West Africa)

Predicting the distribution of plant associations under climate change: A case study on Larix gmelinii in China

Borassus aethiopum Mart. (Arecaceae) in Limpopo province with a key to South African palms

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