Predicting the potential global distribution of <i>Ageratina adenophora</i> under current and future climate change scenarios

Gu, Changjun; Yanli, Tu; Liu, Linshan; Wei, Bo; Zhang, Yili; Yu, Haibin; Wang, Xilong; Yangjin, Zhuoga; Zhang, Binghua; Cui, Bohao

doi:10.1002/ece3.7974

Cited by 38 publications

(12 citation statements)

References 150 publications

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“…A. adenophora distributes from south to north, and it is influenced by the high-altitude mountains in northwest Sichuan; the temperature of these areas is not suitable for the weed to survive, which prevents weed dispersal. This result is consistent with the findings of previous studies: A. adenophora grows best at an altitude around 2000 m, but once above 2500 m, it becomes difficult for the weed to spread [21,71,72]. Thus, the northernmost point is concentrated along the Minjiang and Jialing Rivers, and the southernmost point to the Lancang river basin in the Yunnan section.…”

Section: Potential Risk Of Invasive Alien Plants Under the Current An...supporting

confidence: 92%

Mapping the Distribution and Dispersal Risks of the Alien Invasive Plant Ageratina adenophora in China

et al. 2022

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Identifying the distribution dynamics of invasive alien species can help in the early detection of and rapid response to these invasive species in newly invaded sites. Ageratina adenophora, a worldwide invasive plant, has spread rapidly since its invasion in China in the 1940s, causing serious damage to the local socioeconomic and ecological environment. To better control the spread of this invasive plant, we used the MaxEnt model and ArcGIS based on field survey data and online databases to simulate and predict the spatial and temporal distribution patterns and risk areas for the spread of this species in China, and thus examined the key factors responsible for this weed’s spread. The results showed that the risk areas for the invasion of A. adenophora in the current period were 18.394° N–33.653° N and 91.099° E–121.756° E, mainly in the tropical and subtropical regions of China, and densely distributed along rivers and well-developed roads. The high-risk areas are mainly located in the basins of the Lancang, Jinsha, Yalong, and Anning Rivers. With global climate change, the trend of continued invasion of A. adenophora is more evident, with further expansion of the dispersal zone towards the northeast and coastal areas in all climatic scenarios, and a slight contraction in the Yunnan–Guizhou plateau. Temperature, precipitation, altitude, and human activity are key factors in shaping the distribution pattern of A. adenophora. This weed prefers to grow in warm and precipitation-rich environments such as plains, hills, and mountains; in addition, increasing human activities provide more opportunities for its invasion, and well-developed water systems and roads can facilitate its spread. Measures should be taken to prevent its spread into these risk areas.

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Section: Potential Risk Of Invasive Alien Plants Under the Current An...supporting

confidence: 92%

Mapping the Distribution and Dispersal Risks of the Alien Invasive Plant Ageratina adenophora in China

et al. 2022

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“…The quantification of the realized niche of a species [1] (sensu Grinnell [2][3][4][5], hereafter niche) and how it varies across space and time has received increasing attention in ecological Birds 2022, 3 150 studies, with important implications in evolution, biogeography, and conservation [6][7][8][9][10][11][12][13][14][15]. Many studies have focused on niche evolution in related taxa [16][17][18][19][20][21][22][23], or on niche quantification of alien species to assess their potential as invaders in non-native ranges [24][25][26][27][28][29][30][31][32]. However, niche quantification and change in avian species remain poorly investigated aspects, especially if compared to other research topics (e.g., population trend assessment).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

New Evidence on the Linkage of Population Trends and Species Traits to Long-Term Niche Changes

Tirozzi

Orioli

Dondina

et al. 2022

Birds

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Despite the assessment of long-term niche dynamics could provide crucial information for investigating species responses to environmental changes, it is a poorly investigated topic in ecology. Here, we present a case study of multi-species niche analysis for 71 common breeding birds in Northern Italy, exploring long-term niche changes from 1992 to 2017 and their relationship with both population trends and species traits. We (i) quantified the realized Grinnellian niche in the environmental space, (ii) compared variations in niche breadth and centroid, (iii) tested niche divergence and conservatism through equivalency and similarity tests, (iv) calculated niche temporal overlap, expansion and unfilling indices, and (v) investigated their association with both population changes and species traits. Results supported niche divergence (equivalency test) for 32% of species, although two-thirds were not supported by the similarity test. We detected a general tendency to adjust the niche centroids towards warmer thermal conditions. Increasing populations were positively correlated with niche expansion, while negatively correlated with niche overlap, albeit at the limit of the significance threshold. We found moderate evidence for a non-random association between niche changes and species traits, especially for body size, clutch size, number of broods per year, inhabited landscape type, and migration strategy. We encourage studies correlating long-term population trends and niche changes with species traits’ information and a specific focus on cause-effect relationship at both the single and multiple-species level.

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“…Ageratina adenophora (Sprengel) R.M. King & H. Robinson (Asteraceae), known as Crofton weed or Mexican devil weed, has invaded more than 30 countries and areas, including South Africa, Australia, New Zealand, Hawaii, India and China (Gu et al, 2021; Julien & Griffiths, 1998). It is a perennial weed and can produce high yields of seeds with a high germination rate (Lu et al, 2006; Parsons WT, 2001).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Distinct effects of phyllosphere and rhizosphere microbes on invaderAgeratina adenophoraduring its early life stages

Zeng,

Huang,

Liu

et al. 2024

Preprint

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Microbes strongly affect invasive plant growth. Interactions between soil microbes and invasive plants have received widespread attention; however, it remains to be determined how phyllosphere and rhizosphere soil microbes affect seedling mortality and the growth of invasive plants across ontogeny under varying soil nutrition levels. In this study, we used the invaderAgeratina adenophorato evaluate these effects in plant growth chambers. We found that leaf litter harboured more potential pathogens and thus had more adverse effects on seed germination and seedling survival than soil inoculation. Microbial inoculation at different growth stages altered the microbial community and functions enriched in seedlings, and earlier inoculation had a more adverse effect on seedling survival and growth. In most cases, the soil nutrient level did not affect microbe-mediated seedling growth and the relative abundance of the microbial community and functions involved in seedling growth. Some microbial genera have distinct effects on seedling survival from those on growth. Moreover, fungal strains isolated from dead seedlings inoculated with litter exhibited significant phylogenetic signals to seedling mortality, in which strains ofAllophomaandAlternariacaused high seedling mortality. Our study stresses the essential role ofA. adenophoralitter microbes in population establishment by regulating seedling density and growth.

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Predicting the potential global distribution of Ageratina adenophora under current and future climate change scenarios

Cited by 38 publications

References 150 publications

Mapping the Distribution and Dispersal Risks of the Alien Invasive Plant Ageratina adenophora in China

Mapping the Distribution and Dispersal Risks of the Alien Invasive Plant Ageratina adenophora in China

New Evidence on the Linkage of Population Trends and Species Traits to Long-Term Niche Changes

Distinct effects of phyllosphere and rhizosphere microbes on invaderAgeratina adenophoraduring its early life stages

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