Predicting the Future Capacity and Dimensions of Container Ships

Salsas, Javier Garrido; Saurí, Sergi; Marrero, África; Gül, Ümit; Rúa, Carles

doi:10.1177/0361198120927395

Cited by 17 publications

(7 citation statements)

References 12 publications

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“…A combination of three factors might explain this. First, the use of bigger vessels (mega-vessel trend) potentially reaching 30,000 twenty-foot equivalent units (TEU) are increasing berthing times and slowing down handling unit productivity rates ( 12 ). Since mega-vessels mainly increase their beam, processing them can result in handling 80% more containers per meter of berth, comparing 15,000 TEU with 6,000 TEU ( 11 ).…”

Section: Drivers Of Automationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Lessons from Reality on Automated Container Terminals: What Can Be Expected from Future Technological Developments?

Majoral

Reyes

Saurí

2023

Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation R

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Automating container terminals is a consolidated trend in the port sector that is expected to grow. The main drivers for this growth are improving efficiency, reducing operating costs, remedying labor shortages, and increasing productivity. However, in practice there is no clear evidence confirming that automated terminals outperform conventional ones in handling productivity rates, cycle times, or vessel berthing times. Both the academic corpus and industry data show mixed results. Based on that, the goal of this article is to research productivity rates and factors affecting productivity, and understand to what extent future technological developments can enhance automated terminals. To do so, several sources of information are used and analyzed to shed light on the real productivity performance. The main conclusion gives no strong evidence linking automation with greater productivity, even though it might reduce terminal operators’ costs. In fact, in many instances, productivity is worse. Moreover, currently, semi-automated terminals are still preferred to fully automated terminals because of better handling times. However, it is expected that future technological developments will likely overcome the current issues faced by automated terminals, when a technological paradigm shift takes places.

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Section: Drivers Of Automationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Lessons from Reality on Automated Container Terminals: What Can Be Expected from Future Technological Developments?

Majoral

Reyes

Saurí

2023

Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation R

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“…The reverse applies accordingly. In reality the share of fuel costs can be indeed expected at somewhere between ⅓ and ½ (Garrido et al, 2020).…”

Section: Overall Viewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Mega Vessels – Mega Error?

Malchow¹

2022

KMI Int. J. Marit. Aff. Fish.

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Does it actually make sense to further increase the size of Ultra Large Container Ships from the shipping line's perspective? Is possibly the opposite of what the growth in size is actually supposed to achieve experienced with the current ship sizes? These questions are followed up on the basis of some fundamental geometric and physical considerations, whereby the focus is on the effects of the longer port stays of the ever larger ships. Based on proportionalities a simple equation for a Fuel/TEU Indicator is introduced to determine the optimum ship size with regard to the fuel quantity and the carbon footprint per TEU for a particular liner service. This is complemented by a Total Cost Indicator for estimating the general optimum ship size. The literature published so far has meanwhile identified doubts on the overall economy of these ships especially when related land based costs are also taken into account but still acknowledge economies of scale effects for the ever growing ships themselves. This paper is intended to scrutinize this thesis.

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“…Garrido et al ( 42 ) conclude that containerships could increase their capacity to 30,000 TEU and that the dimensions of these mega-vessels will be approximately 418 m long, 69 m beam, and 17 m draft.…”

Section: Relevant Trends Identified: Defining the Future Of Portsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…There is a trade-off between cost savings from economies of scale and the higher operating costs of the large ships ( 42 ). The increase in vessel size requires costly investment in ports to adapt infrastructure (depth, wider docks, stronger quays, larger cranes, etc.)…”

Section: Relevant Trends Identified: Defining the Future Of Portsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Emerging Trends Defining the Future Role of Ports: Application of the Delphi Method

Salsas

Saurí

Raventós

et al. 2021

Transportation Research Record

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Trends in logistics and more broadly across technology and energy are resulting in changes to the traditional business models and functions of ports. Because the port ecosystem is going to be considerably different in the following two decades, decision-makers need to have a “port vision” for the year 2040 to prioritize investments and build a strategic plan. This paper seeks to analyze the current trends that have an impact on ports and the subsequent changes in their roles. The impacts are identified by means of Delphi methodology, which is applied to the Port Community of Barcelona. The results of this paper will contribute to the vision of ports of the future by identifying the main trends that will have an impact on ports in the long term (2040). The research has been able to identify the key drivers that will transform ports: green measures to decarbonize maritime transport and supply chains; 3D printing hubs for production or customization on site and available on demand in or next to port areas; new physical and digital infrastructures for automated and connected vehicles and port terminals; and finally, full digitalization to offer new services (track and trace, call optimization, etc.) as well as an optimized supply chain oriented to e-commerce’s exigent and flexible final clients.

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Predicting the Future Capacity and Dimensions of Container Ships

Cited by 17 publications

References 12 publications

Lessons from Reality on Automated Container Terminals: What Can Be Expected from Future Technological Developments?

Lessons from Reality on Automated Container Terminals: What Can Be Expected from Future Technological Developments?

Mega Vessels – Mega Error?

Emerging Trends Defining the Future Role of Ports: Application of the Delphi Method

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