Predicting the economic impact of the 2010 FIFA World Cup on South Africa

Bohlmann, Heinrich R.; Heerden, Jan van

doi:10.1504/ijsmm.2008.017214

Cited by 38 publications

(26 citation statements)

References 12 publications

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“…Scientific studies related to sports focus on the present (with data that correspond to the present or extend from the past to the present) or they are based on data from the past. Some of the studies analyze sports with a focus on the future [27][28]. However, the majority of studies are based on qualitative methods [8,13,29,30] and few of them approach the topic from a quantitative perspective [28,31].…”

Section: Review Of the Literaturementioning

confidence: 99%

Predicting the Evolution of Sports Federation Membership: AnImportant Tool to Asses National Governing Bodies’ Strategic Planning

Camps¹,

Pappous²

2016

JSS

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Abstract:Quantifying the potential market of sports licenses is key in order for National Governing Bodies of sport (NGBs) to be able to design good strategic planning. We compared the classical methods of univariate prediction and the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) methods. Reliability of the available data was verified with the Time Series Regression with ARIMA Noise, Missing and Outliers (TRAMO) method, and the existence of a trend was verified using Daniel's test. For the purposes of this study-the researches collected and analysed secondary data from a 40-year series in 45 sports in Spain covering a very long period of time in a variety of sport disciplines. The study shows that, with the available data, short-and mid-term forecasting is possible in a number of sports, but not in all of them. It also proves that Holt's classical method of exponential smoothing is the one that yields best results. Golf, Basketball, Athletics and Hunting NGB show worrying prospects of decline levels and need an immediate change in the strategic plans. Other than for forecasting the evolution of athletes in the mid-term in order to improve strategic planning in NGBs, the present findings can be useful for public authorities to define their aid policies for NGBs, and they can also help companies in the industry to anticipate market developments.

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Section: Review Of the Literaturementioning

confidence: 99%

Predicting the Evolution of Sports Federation Membership: AnImportant Tool to Asses National Governing Bodies’ Strategic Planning

Camps¹,

Pappous²

2016

JSS

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“…Most of the scholarly works on football tournaments describe the methodology they use to analyse the impact of the visitors (Preuss, 1998;Coates & Humphreys, 2000;Szymanski, 2002;Baade & Matheson, 2004;Ahlert, 2006;Kurscheidt, 2006;Oldenboom, 2006;Bohlmann & Van Heerden, 2008;Preuss et al, 2009;Allmers & Maennig, 2009;Du Plessis & Maennig, 2010a;Fourie & Santana-Gallego, 2011;. In particular, Getz (1994), Crompton (1995) and Késenne (1999) write about the overall evaluation problems.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

A method for calculating the crowding-out effect in sport mega-event impact studies: The 2010 FIFA World Cup

Preuß

2011

Development Southern Africa

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Tourist expenditures constituted the largest part of the economic impact of South Africa's 2010 FIFA Football World Cup. However, limited air transport capacity and increased accommodation prices may have led to crowding-out effects. Until now, crowding-out could only be considered by using econometric modelling based on data of inbound arrival or accommodation statistics. This paper suggests a methodology for measuring the crowding-out effect precisely. It is based on the available statistics in South Africa and is applicable at province level. An important innovation is to distinguish crowding-out from time-switching effects. The paper explains the theoretical framework of crowding-out as part of impact measurement, discusses the technical problem of assessing crowding-out, and supplies formulae for calculating this effect. Although this is a study of the 2010 FIFA World Cup 2010 specifically, the methodology described here is appropriate for calculating the impacts of other mega-events.

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“…4 There are useful examples of good practice in planning for legacy and there are other major sporting events whose experience and practice has been far less successful. It is unfortunate to note the failures of legacy planning, but they contain important lessons.…”

Section: Learning the Lessons And Asking The Right Questionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Major sporting events—planning for legacy

Taylor¹,

Edmondson²

2007

Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers - Municipal E

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The planning of major sporting events now requires serious consideration to be given to legacy. This paper examines the nature of legacy planning and how its importance is now recognised by both bidding teams and event planning bodies. The concept of legacy is shown to be broad, encompassing economic, social, cultural, environmental, sporting and political impacts. Several examples of good and less good practice in respect of legacy planning are examined and a detailed review of how London's 2012 organisers are learning the lessons of past major sporting events is presented. To maximise the impact of legacy for major events, this paper suggests it is critical that the legacy vision-a clear articulation of legacy benefits-is in place well in advance of the event. Six ways in which legacy benefits can be secured for major sporting events are recommended: articulating the vision for legacy development as early as possible; legacy business case evaluation; attracting private sector funding for legacy development; the delivery of venues that meet the legacy aspirations of all stakeholders; coordinated venue management and operation; and rigorous evaluation of the wider socio-economic legacy.

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Predicting the economic impact of the 2010 FIFA World Cup on South Africa

Cited by 38 publications

References 12 publications

Predicting the Evolution of Sports Federation Membership: AnImportant Tool to Asses National Governing Bodies’ Strategic Planning

Predicting the Evolution of Sports Federation Membership: AnImportant Tool to Asses National Governing Bodies’ Strategic Planning

A method for calculating the crowding-out effect in sport mega-event impact studies: The 2010 FIFA World Cup

Major sporting events—planning for legacy

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