Predicting the Displacement Variation of Rehabilitated Foundation of Onshore Wind Turbines Using Machine Learning Models

Abstract

The rehabilitation of wind turbine foundations after damage is increasingly common. However, limited research exists on the deformation of wind turbine foundations after rehabilitation. Artificial intelligence methods can be used to analyze future deformation state and predict post-rehabilitation deformation of foundations. This paper focuses on analyzing the stability of damaged wind turbine foundations after rehabilitation, as well as establishing and evaluating machine learning models. Specifically, Decision Tree (DT), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB), Support Vector Regression (SVR), and Long Short-Term Memory Network (LSTM) models are utilized to predict the vertical displacement of the rehabilitated foundation. Hence, the stability of the rehabilitated foundation is discussed in correlation with the measured wind speed, based on the foundation vertical displacement data. During the development of the machine learning model, the most suitable combination of hyperparameters is determined. The prediction performance of the SVR and LSTM models, which exhibit good performance, is compared to further evaluate their effectiveness. Furthermore, the models are analyzed and validated. The results indicate that the vertical displacements of the rehabilitated foundations gradually get close to a state of steady fluctuation over time. The SVR model is identified as the most effective in predicting the vertical displacements of wind turbine foundations after rehabilitation. This study aims to analyze and predict the vertical displacement of wind turbine foundations after rehabilitation based on extensive field monitoring data and powerful machine learning models.