Predicting the Criminal Records of Male-on-Female UK Homicide Offenders From Crime Scene Behaviors

Abstract

Offender profiling follows the idea that if offenders' crime scene actions can be empirically linked to their background characteristics, it will be possible to predict one from the other (Canter, 2011). There is a lack of research exploring whether homicide offenders' crime scene actions are predictive of their criminal histories, despite the potential utility of such information (Almond, McManus, Bal, O'Brien, Rainbow, & Webb, 2018). The current study addresses this gap in the literature.A sample of 213 adult male-on-female homicides with sexual or unknown motive was drawn from a UK-wide database. Relationships between 13 preconviction variables and 29 crime scene behaviors were explored using a bivariate statistical approach. Subsequently, binary logistic regression models were used to predict the presence, or absence, of specific pre-convictions based on a combination of offence behaviors. Analyses highlighted 16 statistically significant associations between key offence behaviors and previous convictions, these associations were often "less likely" to result in previous conviction. The analysis failed to find any association for various other variables, most notably sexual pre-convictions. Results indicate offenders' criminal histories can be predicted from their offence behaviors, though not all pre-convictions may be similarly suited. Implications for practice are discussed.Alison, L.

La Evaluación Psicológica Reconstructiva (EPR) 129 en la investigación criminal de homicidios

“…No cabe duda de que la escena del crimen es una fuente importante de información, que permite inferir las posibles características del autor del crimen. Desde los primeros intentos por estudiar el espacio delictivo, a partir de la clasificación organizada/desorganizada de la escena del crimen (Ressler & Burgess, 1985), diversas investigaciones han establecido una correlación significativa entre la escena del crimen y las características del autor del ilícito (Almond et al, 2019;Pecino-Latorre et al, 2019;Reilly, 2019). Un elemento relevante para establecer tal correlación viene dado por la evidencia conductual presente en el lugar del crimen, y definida por Torres (2010) como toda acción -u omisión-indicativa de una conducta o patrón conductual, que se presenta como vestigio psicológico impreso en el modo en que un agresor realiza un delito, que es susceptible de ser identificado a partir del estudio de la víctima, la escena del crimen, la criminodinámica y los efectos del tes documentales (documentos contenidos en la carpeta investigativa y la documentación personal de la víctima [incluye el análisis de sus producciones personales]).…”

UK and Spanish stranger sexual offenders crime scene behaviours and previous convictions: A cross‐cultural comparison

“…These studies, however, have tended to analyse offending behaviours and major adverse developmental events (e.g., prior sexual abuse) with a view to consider the relative homogeneity of risk factors and universal offending aetiologies. Whilst such studies are helpful to form universal theories of offending they cannot necessarily assist pragmatic offender profiling strategies (as in Almond et al., 2018, 2021, 2019; Ivaskevics & Almond, 2019) because information is either non‐falsifiable (e.g., offence related fantasies, pro‐offending attitudes, cognitive distortions) and/or not available to the police (e.g., emotional states, social difficulties). The nomo‐inductive offender profiling approach stresses the importance of empirically derived models of behaviour that can be applied back into investigative practises, using the types of overt intelligence police forces have available (Salfati, 2022).…”