Predicting the Condition of Agricultural Lands in Pati Regency to Make Sustainable Food Providing Against the Future

Abstract

The food crop agricultural sector in Pati Regency in 2019 succeeded in producing more than 592 thousand tons of rice with a harvest area of 99,453 hectares (BPS, 2021). This achievement must be increased without overexploiting the land. Field data for 2020 shows a population of 1,324,188 people, a population growth rate of 0.58%. Farmers apply a sustainable agricultural system. These findings were analyzed using the calculation of the carrying capacity of agricultural land developed from population pressure (Soemarwoto, 1985). Furthermore, it is described as an explanation of the calculation results. The results showed that the carrying capacity of agricultural land in 2020 is worth 1.35, meaning that it can provide rice for its residents, even a surplus. Indicates high land productivity. Meanwhile, the prediction of the carrying capacity of agricultural land in 2030 will be 1.28 which indicates a decrease in value of 0.07 but it is still able to meet the food needs of the population. The application of the concept of sustainable agriculture by farmers needs to be carried out and supported by various policies from the local government so that the sustainability of agricultural conditions in Pati Regency is maintained.