Predicting impacts of chemicals from organisms to ecosystem service delivery: A case study of insecticide impacts on a freshwater lake

Galić, Nika; Salice, Chris J.; Birnir, Björn; Bruins, Randall; Ducrot, Virginie; Jager, Henriëtte I.; Kanarek, Andrew; Pastorok, Roberto; Rebarber, Richard; Thorbek, Pernille; Forbes, Valery E.

doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.05.187

Cited by 22 publications

(16 citation statements)

References 42 publications

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“…The concept of ecosystem service was established to improve and protect the ecological environment [2]. Several scholars have conducted extensive research on ecosystem services [3,4]. The Millennium Ecosystem Assessment clarified the contribution of ecosystem services to human well-being.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Relationship of Ecosystem Services in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei Region Based on the Production Possibility Frontier

Jin

Feng

et al. 2021

Land

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The supply and demand of ecosystem services are affected by land use. Only a few studies have conducted in-depth quantitative analyses. This study adopted the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region as the research area. The CLUMondo model was adopted to infer the land-use pattern under protection, development, and natural scenarios in 2035. Moreover, the InVEST model was utilized to evaluate carbon sequestration, water yield, and soil conservation under multiple land-use patterns. The production possibility frontier was drawn to visualize the trade-off relationship further. The trade-off intensity index was calculated to quantify the magnitude of the trade-off. (1) Under the development scenario, the accelerated expansion of urbanized land will occupy a large amount of arable and forest land, which should be planned and controlled. (2) The trade-off and synergistic relationships could be transformed under the different land-use scenarios. (3) The production possibility frontier curve for each ecosystem service trade-off and the optimal value of the trade-off configuration were plotted for the different scenarios. The trade-off intensity of ecosystem services was also calculated. This study combined ecosystem services with land-use regulations and revealed the link between ecosystem services and regional land-use pattern change. The aim is to provide a reference for the synergistic progress of the ecological economy in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Relationship of Ecosystem Services in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei Region Based on the Production Possibility Frontier

Jin

Feng

et al. 2021

Land

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“…Although AQUATOX is a complex model, it has been well enough peer reviewed and tested to meet the three issues of importance to regulatory decision-making: uncertainty, transparency, and consistency (Borg 2009 ; Galic et al. 2019 ). The work by Springborn et al.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Towards Building a Sustainable Future: Positioning Ecological Modelling for Impact in Ecosystems Management

et al. 2021

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As many ecosystems worldwide are in peril, efforts to manage them sustainably require scientific advice. While numerous researchers around the world use a great variety of models to understand ecological dynamics and their responses to disturbances, only a small fraction of these models are ever used to inform ecosystem management. There seems to be a perception that ecological models are not useful for management, even though mathematical models are indispensable in many other fields. We were curious about this mismatch, its roots, and potential ways to overcome it. We searched the literature on recommendations and best practices for how to make ecological models useful to the management of ecosystems and we searched for ‘success stories’ from the past. We selected and examined several cases where models were instrumental in ecosystem management. We documented their success and asked whether and to what extent they followed recommended best practices. We found that there is not a unique way to conduct a research project that is useful in management decisions. While research is more likely to have impact when conducted with many stakeholders involved and specific to a situation for which data are available, there are great examples of small groups or individuals conducting highly influential research even in the absence of detailed data. We put the question of modelling for ecosystem management into a socio-economic and national context and give our perspectives on how the discipline could move forward.

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“…AQUATOX is an ecological risk assessment model for evaluating the fate of common contaminants. This model not only considers general contents (ammonia, phosphate, dissolved oxygen, chlorophyll a, temperature, and so on) of water quality but the interaction between organisms in the food web including algae, invertebrates, and fishes in aquatic systems [ 18 ]. Since AQUATOX uses the food web model, it can simulate a causal relationship between all the contents in the water system mechanically.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In addition, the ecological impact of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons was assessed by biomass change of organisms in the lake [ 16 ]. AQUATOX was also used for evaluating ecosystem service delivery with insecticide impacts on a freshwater lake [ 18 ]. However, it was not applied to the hypothetical spill scenarios in the river yet because the performance of the model is not enough to simulate dynamic conditions in chemical spills.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Coupling of the AQUATOX and EFDC Models for Ecological Impact Assessment of Chemical Spill Scenarios in the Jeonju River, Korea

Yeom

Kim

et al. 2020

Biology

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In this study, an ecological impact was assessed for the short-term leak scenario through the AQUATOX-EFDC model, which combines the proven ecological model AQUATOX with the hydrodynamic model EFDC. A case study of the coupled AQUATOX-EFDC model was conducted for 30–30,000 kg toluene leak scenarios in the Jeonju River in South Korea. A 21-day scenario simulation was conducted, and the impact of the toluene spill accident was evaluated by comparing the biomass between the control simulation and the perturbed simulation. As a result of the simulation, it was found that in the scenario in which 3000 kg of toluene was leaked for a day, a substantial change was expected in the range of 0–640 m from the accident site. Additionally, for a 30,000 kg leak, a substantial change was expected in the range of 0–2300 m from the accident site, and the greatest damage was observed for the fish species group, the top predators. As a result, the AQUATOX-EFDC simulation showed a significant ecological impact, and the proposed model will be helpful to understand the ecological impact and establish the management strategy for the ecological risk of the chemical spill.

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Predicting impacts of chemicals from organisms to ecosystem service delivery: A case study of insecticide impacts on a freshwater lake

Cited by 22 publications

References 42 publications

Relationship of Ecosystem Services in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei Region Based on the Production Possibility Frontier

Relationship of Ecosystem Services in the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei Region Based on the Production Possibility Frontier

Towards Building a Sustainable Future: Positioning Ecological Modelling for Impact in Ecosystems Management

Coupling of the AQUATOX and EFDC Models for Ecological Impact Assessment of Chemical Spill Scenarios in the Jeonju River, Korea

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